TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,269,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,407,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,269,493 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 485 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a2f…647abacked Over2c63,538$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29075335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over27c43,665$11,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,60028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over22c40,296$8,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,682.593,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over22c38,693$8,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,439.251,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over27c23,640$6,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,390.5821029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c21,703$15,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,719.834,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under75c20,872$15,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,300.8264446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Over32c16,880$5,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,401.620731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under80c16,294$12,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,329.266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Under62c16,253$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,253.2917443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under71c16,218$11,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,671.678,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under76c12,812$9,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,124.0611561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Over19c12,761$2,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.367150.7%36 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over30c11,487$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,443.741,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over9c11,389$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over21c8,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over35c7,238$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over32c6,878$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.734,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over31c6,773$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.7313738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over28c6,562$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.2144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over15c6,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over18c5,312$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.214,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under77c5,035$3,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.2333740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under61c4,921$2,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.0511149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over34c4,711$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.9339644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over12c4,602$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.21,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Under68c4,155$2,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.624250%21 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over14c4,008$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under70c4,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over23c3,966$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.173,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under70c3,791$2,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.4787237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Under71c3,761$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.0612846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over27c3,684$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac6b…7104backed Under71c3,596$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.542416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-44.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under71c3,516$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.8419946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…b406backed Under78c3,508$2,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.23464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92eb…642cbacked Over19c3,349$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6359322.6%21 W · 72 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Under75c3,194$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.163544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Over29c3,141$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.338950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over4c3,095$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.244130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over33c3,062$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.312248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.995911.9%7 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+220.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Over26c2,954$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.7529740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Over7c2,943$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.418929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over9c2,778$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Over29c2,760$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9934122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over30c2,645$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.991,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under71c2,586$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.8730626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250529.6%5 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under73c2,471$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.691,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…8429backed Over12c2,450$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2946241.9%26 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under65c2,413$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.494665.2%30 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over27c2,407$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under74c2,233$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.3323440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over28c2,224$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.2725942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aae…5efabacked Under74c2,218$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.686338.1%24 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over14c2,162$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.4746230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over30c2,143$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.841,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under77c2,082$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.384746.8%22 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over29c2,079$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under70c2,072$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.871,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over11c2,032$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.5522342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26011946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7409821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9932254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Over33c1,970$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6505223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under76c1,963$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.7233843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Under62c1,870$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.5524626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under74c1,855$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.272,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Over12c1,833$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22021227.8%59 W · 153 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd831…6fccbacked Over42c1,757$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.762250%11 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under67c1,635$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.4136234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over16c1,571$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.962,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7903…685bbacked Over14c1,519$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.234124.4%10 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb893…35d6backed Under68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48010652.8%56 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe51f…473dbacked Over12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18015920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Under80c1,478$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.6118943.4%82 W · 107 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under75c1,338$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.4719158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under70c1,292$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.0977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a99…e614backed Over37c1,223$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.638025%20 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Over2c1,205$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0919738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over15c1,202$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.2451250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6787…6044backed Under74c1,192$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.192556%14 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over23c1,158$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.1869534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Under78c1,141$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.917259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed Over33c1,118$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.061421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c4…7b1ebacked Under72c1,113$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.072433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under67c1,096$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.7298134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Under79c1,064$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4120334%69 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under75c1,027$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.677163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Under60c1,021$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.3617650%88 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over9c1,012$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7322932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Under79c1,006$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.449454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over16c999.31$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.071,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98c9…c1c1backed Over34c983.04$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3304431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under64c937.57$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1722029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed Under79c924.55$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.997659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de2…cd3fbacked Over2c919$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8620733.3%69 W · 138 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.