TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd60f…5165

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 58 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT7659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.68
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.44
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.1
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$23.73
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+46%+$67.1
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.99
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$169.76
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.99
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
Ecuador vs. Germany: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.45
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$39.6
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$85.63
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.32
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$191.99
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$102.12
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.8
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST2343.5%10 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+89%+$61.36
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$22.77
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.66
Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$9.19
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+96.1%+$57.65
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25.76
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+578.1%+$209.25
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$55.36
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+270.4%+$73
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$29.39
Over 15,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Over 10,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11.79
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$229.8
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$31.8
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+566.7%+$285.59
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+150%+$75
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+257.1%+$128.15
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zug: Filip Jianu vs Norbert Gombosbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$36.15
Cattolica: Michele Ribecai vs Franco Agamenonebacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Libema Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Robin Montgomerybacked Robin Montgomery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+419.2%+$599.47
ITF Monastir: Jacob Bradshaw vs Yassine Dlimibacked Jacob Bradshaw · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Centurion 2: Philip Henning vs Alexander Donskibacked Alexander Donski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.08
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$49.19
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+43%+$100.1
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.55
Prostejov: Hynek Barton vs Alex Molcanbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.68
Centurion 2: Alexander Donski vs Edward Winterbacked Alexander Donski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$33.85
Makarska: Petra Marcinko vs Caijsa Hennemannbacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$19.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.