Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Germany: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26a9bf0ed0b7be53cfe279a8c768700934a8e193e4317ae1a2f4026815d60c63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 0c | 30,666$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 54c | 13,721$7,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,344.81 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 38c | 10,625$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,625.44 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 1c | 10,511$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 9,403$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.66 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…42b0backed No | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 38c | 7,836$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,835.94 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 5,998$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.1 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Yes | 62c | 5,411$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.28 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +86%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 3,949$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.08 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 55c | 3,760$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.13 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 38c | 2,597$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.07 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 2c | 2,539$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 40c | 2,224$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.36 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 76c | 1,980$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.77 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…1847backed Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…8041backed Yes | 76c | 1,573$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.67 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 74c | 1,409$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.63 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 1,345$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.17 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 38c | 1,098$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.41 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…316abacked Yes | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.08 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 48c | 1,037$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.21 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 54c | 1,036$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.72 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Yes | 40c | 688.12$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.12 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 53c | 635.06$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.31 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 38c | 618.42$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.42 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 62c | 540.47$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.09 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 532.06$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.81 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 18c | 516.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.12 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 431$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 32c | 409.52$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.86 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 14c | 383.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes | 60c | 381.67$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.67 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 22c | 367$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.68 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed No | 54c | 343.43$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.45 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 63c | 328.28$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.82 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 65c | 311.97$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 62c | 310.08$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.97 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 62c | 280$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 38c | 263$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.06 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Yes | 38c | 251.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.94 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 58c | 240$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 37c | 229.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 21c | 225$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 10c | 224.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed No | 30c | 211.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 20c | 208.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.96 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 69c | 206$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.14 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 68c | 204$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 63c | 201.93$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.14 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 15c | 194.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 46c | 186.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 61c | 180$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7a…29f6backed Yes | 59c | 171.31$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 63c | 168.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…3ee2backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 63c | 157.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 7c | 149$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 25c | 149$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 39c | 148.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 63c | 130.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 62c | 130.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…c216backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db2…defebacked Yes | 38c | 126.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 125.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes | 41c | 120.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2576…d613backed No | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dad…475dbacked No | 62c | 119.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.39 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 107$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…2406backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1f…c113backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…057bbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 92.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe106…4529backed Yes | 62c | 88.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 52c | 87.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…2687backed Yes | 50c | 80.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d01…ead8backed Yes | 38c | 76.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Yes | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 63c | 72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 63c | 70.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 38c | 67.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf0…be9cbacked Yes | 75c | 66.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 240 | 50%120 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 60c | 63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb922…1d3ebacked Yes | 62c | 62.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…4bf5backed Yes | 64c | 62.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Draw at halftime?this page
- Ecuador leading at halftime?No won
- Germany leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.