TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x355f…1847

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Tweets at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10543.8%46 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+279.4%+$642.68
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+145.4%+$145.4
Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.2
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+515.4%+$103.08
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.16
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.55
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Senegal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$50.22
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 2 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+675.6%+$337.79
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$78.06
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
NBA Summer League: Charlotte Hornets vs. Sacramento Kingsbacked Charlotte Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
NBA Summer League: Chicago Bulls vs. Washington Wizardsbacked Washington Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
NBA Summer League: Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzliesbacked Golden State Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
NBA Summer League: Brooklyn Nets vs. Sacramento Kingsbacked Sacramento Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+128%+$75.22
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+250.9%+$775.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+151.5%+$165.67
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$92.1
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.28
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+322.9%+$798.35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.66
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.98
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+167.9%+$293.24
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. New York Libertybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.