Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Senegal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e81a1a916d1b3c9acafef45e0e3c4fb021dcf1125d24dad45cdd2822bd6c278
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $469,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $468,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $469,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 40,123$7,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,187.3 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 4c | 40,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.99 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 12c | 34,617$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 4c | 33,639$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 140 | 30%42 W · 98 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 27,113$21,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,809.82 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a40…840ebacked Yes | 0c | 12,171$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +302.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 56c | 9,203$5,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,065.62 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 4c | 8,287$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.86 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes | 12c | 8,048$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 7,788$6,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.82 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 28c | 6,347$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 4c | 5,546$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 119 | 7.6%9 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 76c | 5,517$4,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.94 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes | 1c | 5,076$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe159…d6d6backed Yes | 11c | 4,437$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 4c | 3,999$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.95 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes | 10c | 3,500$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.48 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 36c | 3,489$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.38 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 23c | 3,057$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.02 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 6c | 3,046$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…c771backed Yes | 43c | 3,010$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.31 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 35c | 2,635$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.11 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 43c | 2,540$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.15 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 3c | 2,538$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8a…5ea2backed Yes | 61c | 2,449$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…f522backed Yes | 4c | 2,421$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 39c | 2,410$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.2 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 39c | 2,398$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.25 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…935dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,258$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 39c | 2,256$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.91 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 72c | 2,237$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.05 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 37c | 1,954$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.33 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…6c92backed Yes | 10c | 1,909$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.48 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,763$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.71 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 50c | 1,750$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.67 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe2…2957backed Yes | 4c | 1,732$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,700$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.35 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 28c | 1,616$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.53 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,567$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.93 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b2…da2dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,562$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,538$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f24…0bd0backed Yes | 10c | 1,497$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.71 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ab…f369backed Yes | 3c | 1,488$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…c222backed Yes | 5c | 1,334$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 3c | 1,325$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad2…63b7backed Yes | 4c | 1,234$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…084ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,207$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dac…dcd9backed Yes | 4c | 1,190$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…038fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,190$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7763…7830backed Yes | 13c | 1,165$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,070$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9838…bcfebacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 4c | 999.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…0486backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 4c | 800$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 23c | 779.11$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.15 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0aa…fd22backed Yes | 4c | 769.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 26c | 764.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Yes | 18c | 760.87$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.65 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e0…47d7backed Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a2c6backed Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes | 40c | 747.53$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.55 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yes | 4c | 708.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Yes | 31c | 701$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.16 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…1a94backed Yes | 4c | 657.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 193 | 24.4%47 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…ded8backed Yes | 23c | 639.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8a97backed Yes | 10c | 629.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…f569backed Yes | 3c | 625$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 12.2%11 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b2…6aa7backed Yes | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +528.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fe…58debacked Yes | 60c | 622.43$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.95 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf182…6225backed Yes | 4c | 615.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 62c | 608.92$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.35 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Yes | 8c | 603.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9441…641bbacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 8c | 588.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 31.4%61 W · 133 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…d86cbacked Yes | 4c | 581.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked No | 75c | 574.87$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.98 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed Yes | 9c | 574.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 54c | 560.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…1aa5backed Yes | 31c | 556.9$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.67 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…d1febacked Yes | 37c | 542.4$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 41c | 500$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…5ec8backed Yes | 4c | 499.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Yes | 4c | 499.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…5936backed Yes | 22c | 499.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes | 4c | 499.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 61c | 495.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…001cbacked Yes | 4c | 491.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 39c | 466.91$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.95 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Yes | 48c | 461.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.36 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 460$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af6…842ebacked Yes | 4c | 456.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…427abacked Yes | 46c | 456.03$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.11 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Senegal?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?Yes won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 Senegal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.