Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6513ee085f246858bff27fc9da921a261af71682594d92690ab363eca235267
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 8,484$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Yes | 10c | 7,540$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.58 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 6c | 5,723$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.41 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 9c | 4,289$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.03 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…3aedbacked Yes | 6c | 4,248$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.89 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 5c | 2,230$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,885$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…afa4backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 5c | 900$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 7c | 866.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 7c | 805.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 8c | 749.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 9c | 644.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 5c | 615$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 7c | 543.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…fe41backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c03…3e4fbacked Yes | 6c | 368.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 4c | 343.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…41eabacked Yes | 7c | 339.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 152 | 13.8%21 W · 131 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…f76abacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8a97backed Yes | 11c | 298.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 8c | 298.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 5c | 266$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 9c | 257.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 269 | 46.8%126 W · 143 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae6…d11cbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa011…c40bbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 315 | 20.3%64 W · 251 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…dd03backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 9c | 163.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1115…a3edbacked Yes | 10c | 156.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8db…55e8backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…61bbbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e5…dd13backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…51a7backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 307 | 32.9%101 W · 206 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…68e1backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…e070backed Yes | 10c | 101.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?this page
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?Yes won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 Senegal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.