Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 Senegal?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde83f46536ca7e2d404b5cc7d39ba568cb41416b53404c4124ada31b73208cac

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $160,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $158,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,660 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	5c	39,028$2,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,140.63	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes	6c	16,667$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	99	29.3%29 W · 70 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x987c…8c2bbacked Yes	5c	11,998$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.91	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Yes	5c	8,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	232	30.2%70 W · 162 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes	5c	2,800$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	502	14.5%73 W · 429 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes	5c	2,200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	287	16.4%47 W · 240 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	5c	1,800$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes	6c	1,680$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	339	15.9%54 W · 285 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3068…60dfbacked Yes	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	8%2 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e9…5278backed Yes	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes	6c	1,256$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.24	82	6.1%5 W · 77 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes	5c	1,014$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.7	335	10.1%34 W · 301 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	388	17%66 W · 322 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	121	9.1%11 W · 110 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes	5c	991.2$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.56	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes	7c	925.83$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.81	560	22.7%127 W · 433 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd22…11ffbacked Yes	6c	916.67$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	67	32.8%22 W · 45 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes	3c	838.81$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.13	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6332…5a1abacked Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-74.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	345	26.1%90 W · 255 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe66b…30e7backed Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	79	40.5%32 W · 47 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-13%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef2…1a2dbacked Yes	6c	802.67$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.16	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes	5c	800$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	175	6.3%11 W · 164 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-37%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Yes	6c	666.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	121	23.1%28 W · 93 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes	5c	615$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes	5c	600$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	315	20.3%64 W · 251 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06eb…ab45backed Yes	6c	600$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Yes	6c	583.33$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	120	33.3%40 W · 80 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6888…a61cbacked Yes	6c	516.67$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	144	30.6%44 W · 100 L	+10.5wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes	6c	510$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	347	51%177 W · 170 L	+19.5wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	485	26.8%130 W · 355 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1db2…dacabacked Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	193	24.9%48 W · 145 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes	8c	455$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	196	18.4%36 W · 160 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…9fd9backed Yes	5c	450$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	74	4.1%3 W · 71 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	10cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed Yes	6c	416.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	147	20.4%30 W · 117 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00dd…5215backed Yes	6c	416.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	136	15.4%21 W · 115 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes	6c	416.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	300	32.3%97 W · 203 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8573…27b7backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	626	6.7%42 W · 584 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaea5…a370backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	155	17.4%27 W · 128 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae6…d11cbacked Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+39%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	6c	350$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed Yes	3c	344$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.32	332	37.3%124 W · 208 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes	6c	330$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	351	10.8%38 W · 313 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa052…ee29backed Yes	5c	323.4$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.17	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa467…9c53backed Yes	6c	321$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.26	100	37%37 W · 63 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-13%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x535f…a83bbacked Yes	6c	309$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.54	105	23.8%25 W · 80 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ec…86bbbacked Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.15per pick	28cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1425…6e0cbacked Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	167	27.5%46 W · 121 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe12…728fbacked Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	71	25.4%18 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc475…17bfbacked Yes	5c	260$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x659c…dd03backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x056a…22f7backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	208	14.4%30 W · 178 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Yes	5c	240$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	250	18.4%46 W · 204 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Yes	6c	235$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	277	44.8%124 W · 153 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes	5c	234.8$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	139	22.3%31 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	6c	210$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	372	37.4%139 W · 233 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…6359backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	114	11.4%13 W · 101 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2e…41eabacked Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	152	13.8%21 W · 131 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7711…2efcbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2f…5468backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	157	8.9%14 W · 143 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2d…048ebacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-26%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bbb…cc39backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	78	33.3%26 W · 52 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	211	33.2%70 W · 141 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x595c…1a1dbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	65	24.6%16 W · 49 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5b0…c344backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4a78…5385backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff9…36bebacked Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+62.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes	6c	193.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.62	80	21.3%17 W · 63 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc57d…abdebacked Yes	6c	191.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	79	30.4%24 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a9…e3dfbacked Yes	7c	178.57$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 Senegal?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 Senegal?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Senegal?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Senegal?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Senegal?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Senegal?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Senegal?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 Senegal?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 Senegal?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?Yes won
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 Senegal?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 Senegal?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 2 Senegal?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 Senegal?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 Senegal?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event