TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa052…ee29

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Weather at 52.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6762.7%42 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Michael Zhengbacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.6
Wimbledon ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$763.23
Set 1 Winner: Mejia vs Zhengbacked Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Troyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Marko Topobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42%+$126.11
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.41
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Jerome Kymbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.52
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.17
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Yi Zhou vs Billy Harrisbacked Yi Zhou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Set 1 Winner: Lys vs Navarrobacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+728.1%+$145.62
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Molcanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$615.74
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs David Goffinbacked David Goffin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Royan: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Sanchez Joverbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Royan: Emilien Demanet vs Carlos Sanchez Joverbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$238.7
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritzbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+77%+$294.69
Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Poznan: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+147.1%+$543.87
Parma: Marco Cecchinato vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$243.63
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Mannarinobacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.45
Grass Court Championships: Magdalena Frech vs Eva Lysbacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+137.4%+$27.47
Halle Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Raphael Collignonbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Mexico to score first vs. Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Mexico leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 2 United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 3 United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 Mexico?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Czechia leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Colombia leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Austria leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Norway leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
France to score first vs. Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
IR Iran leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Uruguay leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Türkiye leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.