Fifa International · resolved market
Austria leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c6e4d4ca07954019afe3eae562bb021e46f46679f625c2b603a4fd26fe432a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $296,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $302,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 54,853$26,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,387.1 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 49c | 49,124$24,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,925.62 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 53c | 42,002$22,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,854.22 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 31,654$8,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,602.24 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,399.97 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed No | 48c | 27,942$13,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,314.72 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 47c | 12,929$6,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,076.81 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…367ebacked No | 51c | 11,814$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 9,869$5,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,289.77 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,229.97 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edd…74d2backed Yes | 38c | 7,872$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,872.23 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 48c | 6,935$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.04 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 47c | 6,500$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.97 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Yes | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.95 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 46c | 4,767$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.04 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed No | 48c | 4,183$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 3,890$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.1 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 50c | 3,462$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.15 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 48c | 3,124$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.07 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 52c | 2,990$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.07 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked No | 49c | 2,802$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 52c | 2,649$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.32 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 2,538$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.91 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 4c | 2,362$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked Yes | 43c | 2,061$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.19 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 39c | 2,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.99 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.9 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…a067backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.76 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.07 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.99 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.99 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 1,555$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.58 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 48c | 1,489$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.4 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 35c | 1,400$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.57 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 12c | 1,353$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 52c | 1,296$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.94 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 3c | 1,158$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes | 51c | 1,122$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.09 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 49c | 1,093$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.35 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 8c | 1,010$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 47c | 999.93$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.97 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…9903backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 124 | 30.6%38 W · 86 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Yes | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 127 | 24.4%31 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 54c | 731$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.18 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 48c | 699.25$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.64 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 48c | 686.54$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.54 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 48c | 619.75$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.85 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 615.26$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.66 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Yes | 52c | 607.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.84 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 3c | 592.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 48c | 535.78$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.17 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…d696backed No | 49c | 515.33$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 53c | 511.32$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.32 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed No | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 52c | 491.93$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.13 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa42…df0dbacked Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 52c | 463.45$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.46 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 52c | 455$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.63 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8851…eab9backed Yes | 52c | 410.06$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 48c | 399.61$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.81 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 53c | 396.23$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.23 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…8018backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5990…fc5abacked Yes | 39c | 378.36$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 29cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f1…da32backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Yes | 53c | 330.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 49c | 309.68$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.74 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Yes | 51c | 288$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 53c | 283$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb50f…2c5dbacked Yes | 52c | 269.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.59 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…a750backed Yes | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 54c | 220.7$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 55c | 211.31$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 46c | 201.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9f…8e7dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 240 | 43.3%104 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…39b2backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 29c | 192.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…280cbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…a6b7backed No | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 48c | 185.32$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…3e8ebacked Yes | 53c | 178.34$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…bf53backed Yes | 51c | 175.24$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 40c | 172.42$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 48c | 164$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austria leading at halftime?this page
- Austria vs. Jordan: Draw at halftime?No won
- Jordan leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.