TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Austria vs. Jordan: Draw at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,677
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,677 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No63c28,378$17,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,587.462,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes39c7,544$2,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,912.933,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes38c6,415$2,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.682,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes13c5,831$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.328,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes37c4,987$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.371,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Yes38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No62c1,875$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.632,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes37c1,781$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.8914232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fa9…9a60backed Yes39c1,718$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6705431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3c…d9b0backed Yes38c1,313$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011436.8%42 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No63c999.99$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No63c999.94$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes39c725$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.611,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No62c601.66$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.631,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84e0…e90dbacked Yes54c562.35$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.673435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Yes51c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25527845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes37c480.21$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6871638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x640b…d920backed Yes7c450.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6519027.9%53 W · 137 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No80c404.17$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.012,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes12c390.25$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.831659.7%16 W · 149 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a6…7708backed Yes12c389.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.786418.8%12 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-30.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8e9…232cbacked Yes40c323.68$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.472254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes38c306$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.783,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b82…2291backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes27c243.65$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.515747.1%74 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes11c238.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8428…1857backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008828.4%25 W · 63 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes39c205.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8049426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No62c200.63$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.761,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Yes14c199.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes16c194.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.832,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes8c192.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.462,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x862d…6eb7backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No62c153.69$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.692038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No62c142.29$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.12,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Yes38c134.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5121240.6%86 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Yes36c123.26$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3711745.3%53 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes37c114.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.651,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bc…25d7backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes38c105$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.91,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a88…0296backed Yes33c105$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9922627.9%63 W · 163 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes37c102.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3847935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85ee…79a9backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012060%72 W · 48 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3939956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3827434.3%94 W · 180 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b32…90bdbacked No64c99.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3619944.2%88 W · 111 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked No62c89.71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0917856.2%100 W · 78 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x851f…642fbacked No62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6517444.8%78 W · 96 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b4d…c525backed Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017020%34 W · 136 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523124.7%57 W · 174 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes39c66.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611631.9%37 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No80c57.5$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.551458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bb5…63c4backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd053…4647backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…89adbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105135.3%18 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes38c49.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.752,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No61c44.02$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.043,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc45d…9e87backed Yes39c41.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Yes37c41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1746247.6%220 W · 242 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes38c40.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2236045.3%163 W · 197 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Yes37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.882348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x619d…5b81backed Yes37c39.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.73250%16 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e7…f4b6backed Yes38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc52a…4885backed Yes39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Yes37c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6941344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes37c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1963035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes37c33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2181554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155450%27 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No61c31.63$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.244,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8113…22cbbacked Yes38c31.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d4…0e06backed Yes38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.456334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Yes38c28.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0236558.4%213 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed No62c27.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3614458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed No63c22.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2223240.5%94 W · 138 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6a6…3024backed No63c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.142748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebf8…92b8backed No64c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5614461.1%88 W · 56 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4490…e3babacked No64c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5615357.5%88 W · 65 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed No63c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7742048.8%205 W · 215 L+18.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c27…a228backed No64c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.563060%18 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b8a…20d6backed No64c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5613256.1%74 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ea…3955backed No63c20.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4412545.6%57 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No61c17.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.851,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No76c14.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.592,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.