TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x09fe…76ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
790
Categories scored
42
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Commodities, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT17856.2%100 W · 78 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 178 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$106.77
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.02
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.24
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.3
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$84.88
Argentina to score first vs. Spain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$47.7
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$33.92
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$6.78
Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.37
Norway to score first vs. England?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.96
England to score first vs. Norway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+141.2%+$101.26
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$27.27
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63.63
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.56
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$161.41
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.67
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+30%+$22.97
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$6.72
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$22.9
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.04
United States leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Showing 25 of 178 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT9440.4%38 W · 56 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.13
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$19.47
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.64
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.39
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.86
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$21.35
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.27
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+217.2%+$32.96
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.98
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+209.2%+$255.65
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.32
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.58
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.64
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.93
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$83.67
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.7
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+41%+$6.43
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.75
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT8827.3%24 W · 64 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+1,407.9%+$211.19
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$69.65
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.47
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$20.21
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+71.1%+$284.27
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+89.7%+$33.1
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+187.7%+$95.75
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+45%+$9.01
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+384.5%+$269.17
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.8%+$7.35
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,345.89
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,033.09
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.76
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+247.9%+$421.43
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT8741.4%36 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$7.46
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.05
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$23.59
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.17
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$5.99
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$6.31
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$4.21
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.27
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$25.57
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.59
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$630.07
Will Giuseppe Tortora win the 2026 Pompei mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Will Anna De Gaio win the 2026 Castrovillari mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Will Luca Pozzobon win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.74
Will Pasquale Mauri win the 2026 Angri mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.14
Will Salvatore Alfano win the 2026 Pompei mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$54.04
Will Ernesto Bello win the 2026 Castrovillari mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$12.59
Will Maria Wanjera Ghimenton win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will Vincenzo Ceccarelli win the 2026 Arezzo mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.44
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 6 or 7 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$13.98
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 8 or 9 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.74
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$189.69
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.36
Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.25
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT7429.7%22 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-41.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.02
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$14.21
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.66
Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
Will Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.16
Will David Schweikert win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.93
Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$126.97
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.66
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$28.92
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.88
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$38.64
Will Matthew Dunlap be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$68.43
Will Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.66
Will David Tulley win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$14.88
Will Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.56
Will Mitchell Jacob be the Democratic nominee for OK-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.23
Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$59.15
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$14.37
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Will Danielle Bethell win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.04
Will Kyle Duyck win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.39
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT5062%31 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$7.3
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+119%+$12.52
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.15
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$4.57
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$4.71
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$3.46
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.97
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.87
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.09
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.71
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$15.31
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$14.49
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.84
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.82
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$4.02
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$5.25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.76
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$5.04
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.32
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.61
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$11.7
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$5.77
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$4
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 61m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$12.06
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.47
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 53m and 57m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.23
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$4.53
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.34
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$37.25
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$37.53
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.79
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$5.22
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+308.3%+$66.74
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Will "M3GAN 2.0" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+34.9%+$10.82
Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.09
Will Severance win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+76.1%+$11.75
Will "David" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 32m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+25%+$4.33
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$13.11
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+34%+$19.77
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.18
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$11.89
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$7.04
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$52.38
Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3500000 and 3750000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.18
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+161.8%+$309
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3750000 and 4000000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$276.65
Will Swag II first-week album sales be between 125000 and 150000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+57.9%+$11
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.99
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.31
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$6.9
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.67
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$475.98
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$182.32
Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+92.2%+$10.14
Will The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 searched song on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+55.5%+$7.54
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25.32
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.47
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$11.21
All 13 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.96
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+376.1%+$366.09
Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.53
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.02
Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.34
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.1
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.9
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$30.39
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.57
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+32%+$11.59
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
All 11 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+89%+$11.03
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.86
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$14.7
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.84
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$6.75
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.26
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.69
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$29.19
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.67
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$29.94
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.56
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+103.8%+$21.89
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31%+$5.11
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$5.43
Will Carter Bryant win the 2026 NBA dunk contest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$42.84
Will Keshad Johnson win the 2026 NBA dunk contest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$41.92
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 6 games played during the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
Will there be exactly 7 games played during the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.75
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.25
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+137.6%+$22.93
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.29
Will Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+30.2%+$9.33
Will Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.28
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+134.4%+$14.03
All 8 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-67.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+57.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-71.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+42.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Otherbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$13.22
Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VII?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$15.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Glasgow Rangers win on 2025-08-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$89.02
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-08-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.15
Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$63.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $95-$100 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+65.3%+$14.91
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$95 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.56
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$106.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.15
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$44.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$267.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.