Movies · resolved market

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x681b8f0f7150a5a62e413d5daef955913d9dac4b416e9062787c6e46eaad7226

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $94,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $71,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,070 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes	38c	18,222$6,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,968.07	326	39.3%128 W · 198 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	59c	10,300$6,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,208.65	177	51.4%91 W · 86 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	12c	5,702$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.35	328	14.9%49 W · 279 L	+14.2wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes	10c	3,886$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.33	94	34%32 W · 62 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed Yes	23c	2,600$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.3	187	46%86 W · 101 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-20%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	75c	2,585$1,948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$637.17	75	37.3%28 W · 47 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5095…93eebacked Yes	29c	2,528$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.04	296	42.6%126 W · 170 L	+22.9wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes	17c	2,441$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.61	150	59.3%89 W · 61 L	+19.8wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	76c	2,427$1,841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.22	103	39.8%41 W · 62 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	77c	2,419$1,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.39	167	37.1%62 W · 105 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe78…c533backed Yes	23c	2,339$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.43	297	35.7%106 W · 191 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3709…3d7ebacked Yes	21c	2,150$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x955c…990fbacked Yes	17c	1,901$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.25	71	57.7%41 W · 30 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes	20c	1,555$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.25	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-72.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	8c	1,449$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.55	1,393	8%111 W · 1,282 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes	6c	1,243$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.39	233	21.5%50 W · 183 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-34%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	14c	1,234$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.26	137	35%48 W · 89 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9842…132bbacked Yes	4c	1,226$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4da7…355ebacked Yes	30c	1,140$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.6	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6408…d5c6backed Yes	1c	1,027$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-83.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed No	75c	1,000$752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70b…6087backed Yes	22c	966.86$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.92	116	33.6%39 W · 77 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9214…a803backed Yes	42c	957.26$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	76c	945$714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.68	106	45.3%48 W · 58 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes	20c	868.12$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.67	294	23.5%69 W · 225 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-43%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes	2c	778.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	108	14.8%16 W · 92 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	74c	774.98$574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.74	99	51.5%51 W · 48 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	76c	758.07$574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.31	124	42.7%53 W · 71 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes	13c	640.64$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.34	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21a3…9e97backed Yes	24c	630$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.51	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes	25c	525.13$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.2	195	32.8%64 W · 131 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x159e…050ebacked Yes	19c	500$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.57	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd9…1024backed Yes	13c	500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf82f…8137backed Yes	33c	499.99$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2482…67b1backed Yes	17c	499.99$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.67	90	34.4%31 W · 59 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf697…c72cbacked Yes	34c	483.39$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11c8…be84backed Yes	23c	399.02$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.32	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	71c	370$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.05	104	36.5%38 W · 66 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1547…d066backed Yes	15c	362.65$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.99	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	13c	361.91$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.15	111	29.7%33 W · 78 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6018…170cbacked Yes	16c	361$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.47	136	35.3%48 W · 88 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes	19c	357$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.12	170	17.1%29 W · 141 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	71c	350.03$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.6	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd78…e773backed Yes	18c	339.51$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.77	131	19.1%25 W · 106 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	74c	318$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.23	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No	70c	318$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.4	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9343…75f7backed Yes	9c	316$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d81…fe57backed Yes	23c	311.98$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.96	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes	27c	269.96$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.87	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-6.8wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	12c	247.9$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.21	191	33%63 W · 128 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	7c	222.69$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.82	201	3.5%7 W · 194 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	63c	217.48$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.41	119	24.4%29 W · 90 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes	34c	217.01$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.19	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	20c	202.27$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.78	130	34.6%45 W · 85 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	28c	200$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	473	28.3%134 W · 339 L	-32.8wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7db…feb0backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-38%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	20c	193.32$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.7	160	15.6%25 W · 135 L	-26.1wins	-0.16per pick	32cpaid	-70.7%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xcc7c…4ce2backed Yes	17c	175.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	8c	168$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.22	204	2.9%6 W · 198 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23cb…0357backed No	69c	167.71$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.81	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	31c	159.07$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.57	135	34.8%47 W · 88 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x508d…791abacked No	70c	158$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.4	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-4.2wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6dec…cefabacked Yes	25c	153.77$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.38	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed No	61c	153.71$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.71	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ea…ea62backed No	73c	150$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.5	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	40c	144.12$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.78	484	14%68 W · 416 L	-39.3wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3387…c3f7backed Yes	23c	136.86$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.24	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes	23c	136.07$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.95	84	61.9%52 W · 32 L	+7.5wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	75c	130.79$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.38	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-31%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab0…1317backed Yes	15c	130.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a43…178bbacked Yes	39c	120$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.39	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-14%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5c…2ee3backed Yes	38c	118.7$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Yes	16c	112.94$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.98	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d51…c019backed Yes	18c	110.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed No	74c	110$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.6	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0124…f62ebacked Yes	19c	107.64$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…b760backed Yes	28c	106.9$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	40c	105$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-5.7wins	-0.22per pick	45cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed Yes	15c	104.51$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.57	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd91…6262backed Yes	16c	101.19$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.18	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	67c	101$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	870	33.3%290 W · 580 L	-77.0wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x375a…dbd4backed Yes	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a8…7d37backed Yes	22c	99.08$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	39cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	23c	93$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.24	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c72…3efdbacked Yes	15c	88.31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes	13c	87.83$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.12	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x039b…9b6cbacked Yes	12c	87.47$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+50.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked No	61c	85$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.15	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+52%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa53c…67a5backed Yes	29c	84.45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.49	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e72cbacked Yes	18c	81.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yes	20c	75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes	20c	75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.1	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	+8.4wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43c3…f83bbacked Yes	37c	73.81$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf885…d719backed Yes	15c	72.55$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.82	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Yes	19c	72.31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed No	50c	69.67$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.83	264	31.1%82 W · 182 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ea…3ce8backed Yes	42c	67.77$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.42	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8536…3da3backed Yes	30c	66.94$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes	19c	63.82$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae28…8883backed Yes	25c	60.49$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?this page
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?No won
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?Yes won
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?No won
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event