TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7db…feb0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 59 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT3831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.1
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$23.03
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+184.7%+$259.49
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$53.41
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.5
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$438
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.13
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.11
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$370.5
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$198.64
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$186.55
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$221.08
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+102%+$101
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$125.98
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$891Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$891.41
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$154
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+32.8%+$234.5
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$305
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$878.86
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$86.57
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3225%8 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.99
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$92.2
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$295
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+158.3%+$429
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+299.2%+$449.7
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+163.2%+$124
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$196
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$375
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+155.4%+$349.64
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.8
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$233
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+32.7%+$37
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$839.98
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+300%+$30
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick18cpaid+83%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,975Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$525
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$655.82
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+139%+$485.65
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$255
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$187.5
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$675
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+566.7%+$510
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+150%+$120
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$197
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+300%+$75
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$177.99
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$60.2
Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$36.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$1,183
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+583.4%+$512.19
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+160.8%+$210.9
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.75
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$66.5
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.8%+$322.59
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.27
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$273
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$364.99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$195
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$366.03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+169.4%+$191.14
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+221.8%+$1,113.11
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$50.36
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.2
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.05
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$88
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid+66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+133.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$235
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$192
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+167%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$53.5
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+47.3%+$16.05
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$155
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.