Token Launches · resolved market
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2c5350ac1e7adb1433e22f3f768f5d44b98307004b145650ff1cbfea971c07c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,120,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,169,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,120,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 755 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437c…f458backed No | 33c | 104,641$34,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,558.02 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed Yes | 73c | 53,403$39,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,005.93 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ec…a0d3backed Yes | 77c | 47,509$36,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,761.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…5fccbacked Yes | 64c | 35,091$22,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,315.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b91…0786backed No | 36c | 35,091$12,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,315.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…be2cbacked No | 27c | 32,093$8,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,406.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…ef3fbacked No | 23c | 22,100$4,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,127.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 23cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…c050backed Yes | 77c | 21,595$16,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,714.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -78%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e17…33f3backed No | 19c | 21,471$4,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,464.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +178.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed Yes | 67c | 20,421$13,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,712.71 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…ba8cbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…a4e7backed No | 20c | 18,505$3,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,735.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 25c | 14,761$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,001.21 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x826b…9c34backed Yes | 61c | 14,050$8,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,576.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…d9a6backed Yes | 65c | 13,972$9,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,023.16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 46cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1f…5317backed Yes | 72c | 12,777$9,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,251.67 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x148c…1ddebacked No | 24c | 12,350$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,435.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +323.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc5…67b3backed Yes | 76c | 12,000$9,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,065.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…fa90backed Yes | 70c | 11,317$7,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,867.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9a9abacked No | 28c | 10,100$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,302.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +261%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…5ebcbacked Yes | 75c | 10,018$7,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,544.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 32c | 10,001$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,822.25 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0c…d2fdbacked No | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38df…47d1backed No | 24c | 9,920$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,568.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +321.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 61c | 9,349$5,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,687.91 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…2dd9backed No | 23c | 9,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,930 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed No | 62c | 8,950$5,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.29 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf90b…cb6cbacked No | 29c | 8,406$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,963.61 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…a5cbbacked Yes | 74c | 7,426$5,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,517.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…75d5backed Yes | 78c | 7,150$5,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,541.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 29c | 6,846$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,874.69 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked No | 43c | 6,815$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,878.71 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x495a…52bfbacked No | 24c | 6,299$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,789.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…45d1backed Yes | 78c | 6,200$4,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,805 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…593dbacked Yes | 47c | 6,175$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.53 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -14.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 70c | 6,095$4,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266.34 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e8…2970backed Yes | 78c | 5,900$4,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,572.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…ff45backed No | 23c | 5,689$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,384.58 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…846fbacked No | 24c | 5,685$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,337.43 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aee…a444backed Yes | 75c | 5,584$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked No | 30c | 5,280$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.49 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd6…84cdbacked No | 29c | 5,152$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 25c | 5,000$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed Yes | 54c | 4,622$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.69 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6454…a8b5backed Yes | 69c | 4,610$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…36b3backed Yes | 62c | 4,364$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.05 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 41c | 4,297$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.09 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x269b…dcfabacked No | 37c | 4,256$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…467bbacked Yes | 77c | 4,244$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.77 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…8bc2backed Yes | 72c | 4,174$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…9519backed Yes | 76c | 4,161$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…3fc6backed Yes | 77c | 4,036$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 3,888$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a2…b175backed No | 39c | 3,838$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 25c | 3,748$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.8 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +166%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…79bbbacked Yes | 76c | 3,700$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…7d5abacked Yes | 12c | 3,623$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…31e7backed Yes | 72c | 3,550$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c0…2f13backed Yes | 72c | 3,515$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…fda9backed Yes | 76c | 3,500$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…911abacked Yes | 72c | 3,400$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f5…0718backed Yes | 76c | 3,400$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x512f…a99cbacked Yes | 44c | 3,360$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…ea58backed Yes | 76c | 3,350$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…4aa7backed Yes | 74c | 3,309$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd204…cd6bbacked No | 30c | 3,300$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +183.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3a…f8fdbacked Yes | 70c | 3,300$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc59a…5bbfbacked Yes | 70c | 3,157$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x667e…5410backed Yes | 72c | 3,150$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e5…b418backed Yes | 75c | 3,037$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…69b7backed No | 24c | 3,009$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.74 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96d…59aebacked Yes | 72c | 2,996$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…124dbacked No | 22c | 2,948$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 37c | 2,908$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.55 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…e424backed No | 20c | 2,900$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.8 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d17…a87ebacked Yes | 70c | 2,900$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…26e8backed Yes | 76c | 2,870$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x390b…b431backed Yes | 78c | 2,850$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2988…952abacked No | 29c | 2,800$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…bfeabacked No | 29c | 2,792$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.18 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +265%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58e3…7aebbacked Yes | 76c | 2,730$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd7…834cbacked Yes | 76c | 2,720$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed No | 30c | 2,688$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.17 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f7…3d6abacked Yes | 73c | 2,638$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4c…0873backed Yes | 77c | 2,598$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 24c | 2,579$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.69 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 27c | 2,520$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.73 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833d…c788backed Yes | 79c | 2,511$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 58c | 2,493$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.42 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…a7dcbacked No | 76c | 2,429$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871b…eef6backed Yes | 73c | 2,370$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 37c | 2,271$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.78 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 34c | 2,195$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.13 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4370…1c8dbacked No | 26c | 2,181$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked No | 37c | 2,160$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.05 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked Yes | 46c | 2,121$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 46c | 2,068$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.99 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed No | 50c | 2,040$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?this page
- Infinex FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
- Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.