TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xecc4…7a2a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 59 out of 100; worst Weather at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,053Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,052.84
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+161.1%+$290.78
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,444.58
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,051.49
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$596
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,702Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$1,739.08
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,633Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$2,302.23
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$167.06
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$8,489Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+77.7%+$6,596.3
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,671Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+97.7%+$3,586.71
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,206.37
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,480.32
Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,718.98
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,344Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+51%+$686.09
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$1,584
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,518Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+90.7%+$2,284.69
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,329Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+103.9%+$4,498.63
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$250.59
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,907Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+121.6%+$2,319.07
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,936Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+132.1%+$3,878.71
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,774Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+33.4%+$593.25
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,664Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+41.3%+$686.95
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$497.46
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$347.24
All 24 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-79.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-4.5) vs. USA (+4.5) gold medals?backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$57.47
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.92
Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.09
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$92.77
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$401.07
Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$76.66
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,456.19
Will Japan win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34.13
Will Canada win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$71.15
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$151.47
Will Sweden win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.37
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$348.4
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,414.8
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,288Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.4%+$1,449.37
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-57.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,920
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$1,520
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,750 (LOW) in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$43.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+61%+$76.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$720
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,041.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,160
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$5,594.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.