Olympics · resolved market
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb997cdb97cb87c8a5d8dba5ce5705d00c0765a8730bbc1280d2c3c4a090554ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…688ebacked No | 0c | 20,966$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 43c | 11,000$4,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,782.81 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked Yes | 61c | 3,737$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.37 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 71c | 2,247$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,096$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,752$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 5c | 1,289$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef8…c875backed No | 65c | 1,224$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 19c | 792.2$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 38c | 606.62$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.69 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 56c | 591.66$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…e6a5backed Yes | 51c | 591.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c86…e223backed Yes | 49c | 451.98$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ac…bc7dbacked Yes | 52c | 417.56$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 16c | 400.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 11c | 399.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.99 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…2ed3backed Yes | 60c | 373.42$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…bd00backed Yes | 50c | 372.24$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Yes | 74c | 344.31$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 313.39$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Yes | 52c | 298.6$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 35c | 297.42$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 54c | 270.42$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.36 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…c8ebbacked Yes | 61c | 245.58$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 11c | 235.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.03 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…f75cbacked Yes | 62c | 230$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1e…4086backed Yes | 54c | 220.81$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…5292backed Yes | 49c | 202.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebb…97a1backed Yes | 51c | 196.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…cb26backed Yes | 52c | 192.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 185.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac82…1647backed Yes | 55c | 181.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…9656backed No | 48c | 173.19$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 54c | 170$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 24c | 168.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb987…4c84backed No | 40c | 162$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…ececbacked No | 40c | 155$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 65c | 154.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…720ebacked No | 40c | 154$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba1…110ebacked No | 40c | 153$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8171…bcbebacked No | 40c | 149$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…06a5backed No | 40c | 148$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…3bb1backed No | 40c | 146$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…ac7dbacked No | 40c | 145$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…f8e2backed No | 40c | 139$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed Yes | 53c | 138.65$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d5…1d67backed No | 40c | 126.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 46c | 125.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes | 55c | 123.71$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…2347backed Yes | 50c | 121.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…c338backed No | 19c | 112.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…7917backed Yes | 55c | 109.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2f…16efbacked Yes | 60c | 108$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41d…9111backed Yes | 60c | 106$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95af…4f54backed Yes | 60c | 106$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee68…7477backed Yes | 60c | 104$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b04cbacked Yes | 60c | 103$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8b…e194backed Yes | 49c | 101.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd330…ac04backed Yes | 60c | 101$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked No | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344c…5cd2backed Yes | 60c | 96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc35…94e1backed Yes | 60c | 96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd9…b0eabacked Yes | 60c | 96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc836…c936backed Yes | 60c | 96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…ede6backed Yes | 60c | 95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5032backed Yes | 60c | 95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4a…d152backed Yes | 47c | 94.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b1…9643backed Yes | 61c | 94.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c7…62d3backed No | 26c | 94.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…67d5backed Yes | 60c | 94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bd…ff49backed Yes | 60c | 93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 53c | 92.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 60c | 91.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb7…2077backed No | 45c | 89.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 48c | 86.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 37c | 84.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481f…2805backed No | 44c | 74.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Yes | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 21c | 64.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…037cbacked Yes | 41c | 62.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b6…0203backed No | 58c | 62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed No | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…5620backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d9…3b92backed No | 53c | 59.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f0…1326backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d6…9c37backed No | 44c | 58.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 38c | 56.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…d545backed Yes | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea08…ba6cbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…59afbacked No | 48c | 52.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d72…f41dbacked Yes | 39c | 52.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acb…faeebacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea3…52a1backed No | 64c | 47.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 47 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Albania record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Andorra record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Australia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Austria record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Belgium record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Bolivia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Bulgaria record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Chile record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will China record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Chinese Taipei record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Croatia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Czech Republic record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Denmark record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Estonia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Finland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Georgia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Great Britain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Greece record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Hong Kong record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Hungary record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Iceland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Iran record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Ireland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Jamaica record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Japan record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Kazakhstan record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Latvia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Liechtenstein record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Lithuania record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Mongolia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Netherlands record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will New Zealand record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will North Macedonia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Poland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Portugal record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Romania record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Serbia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Slovakia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Slovenia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Sweden record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Turkey record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Ukraine record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will United States record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Uruguay record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will an Individual Neutral Athlete record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.