TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc8dc…f75c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Mirra Andreeva vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+85.5%+$46.1
Midland: Sakura Hosogi vs Claire Liubacked Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23.7
Rio Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Emilio Navabacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Katerina Siniakova vs Paula Badosabacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+92.3%+$42.24
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Ben Sheltonbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Rio Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.8
Qatar Total Open: Karolina Muchova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+56.7%+$21.7
Rotterdam Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40.7
Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+58.7%+$12.95
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Quentin Halysbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+56.7%+$21.7
Argentina Open: Vit Kopriva vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$55.2
Dallas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$28.1
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$105.4
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Marcos Gironbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Dallas Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$37.8
Dallas Open: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Qatar Total Open: Tereza Valentova vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+65.3%+$39.5
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$28
Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)backed Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Open Sud de France: Martin Damm vs Luca Nardibacked Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$52.7
Ostrava Open: Katie Volynets vs Katie Boulterbacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+54.4%+$7.05
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$15
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+57%+$25.4
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81%+$17.9
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+342.5%+$38.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$242
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$34.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.