Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-02-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bd3ab71476ac9c3343e19280fff9b103ad8994ad39ad1a21896e2671c262ec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe214…4c89backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 0c | 2,830$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 4c | 1,363$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 8c | 1,104$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 31c | 901.88$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +590.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 5c | 896.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 789.98$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.3 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 20c | 700$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 672.12$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.06 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 16c | 540$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 508.74$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.45 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 76c | 479.48$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 466.8$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.74 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 14c | 339.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…5476backed Yes | 17c | 131.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 129$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 30c | 118$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 16c | 102$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Yes | 27c | 42.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…3b34backed Yes | 45c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 33c | 39.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 31.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…f75cbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…8dfcbacked No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 67c | 28.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-02-13?this page
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-13?Yes won
- Will Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.