TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,031
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,407

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,031 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…db70backed Yes46c29,208$13,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,867.674032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c15,726$7,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,769.998844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c10,368$5,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,708.843748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No35c9,512$3,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,341.1346644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes44c9,127$4,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,069.7313933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes69c5,153$3,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.1214060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfcf1…29ffbacked No52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x193d…9741backed Yes48c4,992$2,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,595.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No49c3,970$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.947850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c3,650$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.0933444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No16c3,610$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.6714843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No52c3,505$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.351844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee5…00fcbacked Yes56c3,216$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.91450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5014…2cc4backed No30c2,980$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No13c2,552$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.959431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No54c2,385$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes72c2,383$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.036471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Yes66c2,333$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No52c2,130$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked No56c1,970$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.22339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No43c1,893$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.041850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes78c1,878$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.023773%27 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes45c1,777$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.06933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No21c1,572$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.344124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes48c1,400$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7281883.3%15 W · 3 L+6.2wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+67.4%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Yes48c1,146$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.831540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No41c1,045$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.4728659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5016…58e4backed Yes48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202343.5%10 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+85.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked No33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5204341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No8c967.45$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.422652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes66c949.45$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.812352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No55c908.69$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.9430055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes48c791.67$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.671735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No31c708$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.8123551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No22c670$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.671723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-58.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No21c644.18$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8630536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2803259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No32c482.76$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.410633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed No43c478.57$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No56c411.48$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.697549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1366129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked No56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No57c349.99$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4910448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes48c333.33$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.33850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+91.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No55c327.96$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.185257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No55c321.3$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.936453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes67c313$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.055651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes51c307.84$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.331637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Yes44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes48c292.22$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.221030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes43c277.15$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.882356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes67c262$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.284151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Yes66c258$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.722334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes45c225.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.881855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+84.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes65c220$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes46c218$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7211457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No57c216.65$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.314238.1%16 W · 26 L-7.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-35.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ae…106cbacked No57c202.39$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+97.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked No12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24450%2 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+415.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No54c199.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed No57c194.74$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick62cpaid-53.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No36c191.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.782138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes48c190.88$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.264334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed No46c189.76$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.02100%0 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No56c179.16$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.886162.3%38 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Yes46c169.57$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.572544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd22…e478backed Yes44c168.58$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No56c162$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.186955.1%38 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd189…9a6abacked No19c161.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes44c159.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.091752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes44c154.55$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.55580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick36cpaid+127.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.064740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7202…e9b1backed Yes44c151.26$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.711241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes47c149.87$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.932250%11 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+68.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked No58c145$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.51812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-76.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No55c135$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.256460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed No57c132.89$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.751040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes65c125$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.613540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd045…6521backed Yes65c119.91$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No55c115$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.255156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes44c113.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.945048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ced…6c81backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.646100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No30c112.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2212532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No55c112$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.63253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7af4…043abacked Yes44c111.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8512…2ee1backed Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc445…57c1backed Yes46c108.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked No53c103.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf587…f3e0backed Yes65c103.46$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No18c102.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184650%23 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed No34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.