TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfcf1…29ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
19
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$949Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$949
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,162Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$840.84
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$1,166.55
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$71.9
California Golden Bears vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$467.28
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+117.4%+$108.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+177.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.69
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+455.6%+$147.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$519.42
Will Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$505.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.51
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$121.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$21.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+28.3%+$66.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$2,600
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.