TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Movistar KOI
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$738,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$758,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $738,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 694 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere8c28,378$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,054.942,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Movistar KOI0c24,661$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1694134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere33c23,123$7,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,400.091,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Natus Vincere35c21,000$7,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,709.8631328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Natus Vincere38c19,388$7,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,031.2211035.5%39 W · 71 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere33c18,015$5,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,095.191,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere36c15,044$5,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,600.371,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed Natus Vincere57c13,955$7,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,006.1624065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Movistar KOI61c12,277$7,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,451.421,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere43c11,999$5,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,824.111,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c31…b74fbacked Natus Vincere35c10,859$3,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,047.644526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Movistar KOI51c9,724$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere24c8,768$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,678.3682044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…f8fabacked Movistar KOI64c8,583$5,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,527.251963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Natus Vincere42c8,440$3,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,896.1118554.1%100 W · 85 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Movistar KOI37c8,248$3,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,022.311,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere46c7,999$3,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,339.381,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Natus Vincere23c6,726$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,169.941,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Movistar KOI44c6,086$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,671.666437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere41c5,999$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,566.4285442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed Natus Vincere65c5,962$3,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.1540651.7%210 W · 196 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Natus Vincere35c5,367$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,488.556541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Natus Vincere62c5,194$3,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.8711645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere61c5,057$3,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.4748448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere49c5,034$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.3148149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere37c4,953$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,133.8795041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Natus Vincere9c4,945$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,500.1563546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d66…7799backed Movistar KOI46c4,853$2,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.464240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x141f…7711backed Natus Vincere31c4,500$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,103.1314248.6%69 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab28…3ff0backed Movistar KOI66c4,204$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+54.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere37c4,146$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.4439246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere62c4,099$2,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.5355955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Natus Vincere27c3,716$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.1448157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Movistar KOI71c3,686$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.111,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Natus Vincere30c3,312$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.2949549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed Movistar KOI40c3,306$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.6924939%97 W · 152 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Natus Vincere62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.819245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere35c3,195$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,066.7170456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere41c3,121$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.063,11933.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L-151.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9560…9467backed Movistar KOI65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95020454.9%112 W · 92 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Natus Vincere38c2,937$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.1318046.1%83 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7097…e1debacked Natus Vincere65c2,893$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.619450%47 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Natus Vincere66c2,638$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.9828361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Movistar KOI64c2,506$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60033143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked Natus Vincere62c2,419$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da3…5a49backed Movistar KOI67c2,374$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.275164.7%33 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Natus Vincere35c2,370$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.126139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Movistar KOI65c2,329$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.647343.8%32 W · 41 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere32c2,250$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.991,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Natus Vincere36c2,229$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.0353640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Movistar KOI54c2,200$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18610044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Movistar KOI66c2,125$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Natus Vincere13c2,054$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.5223341.2%96 W · 137 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere38c2,042$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.052,90338.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L-117.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere37c2,027$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.991,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Movistar KOI66c2,012$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.8964243%276 W · 366 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27ba…d205backed Natus Vincere36c2,003$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Natus Vincere28c2,000$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.8895847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Natus Vincere2c2,000$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.996297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Natus Vincere70c2,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.457246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Movistar KOI65c1,990$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.5420035%70 W · 130 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd138…3140backed Movistar KOI46c1,976$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9056566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Movistar KOI66c1,960$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.837435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Movistar KOI67c1,940$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30014761.9%91 W · 56 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Movistar KOI67c1,905$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.71,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee21…e2febacked Movistar KOI39c1,889$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.734949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Movistar KOI38c1,850$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70382454.9%452 W · 372 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb268…5bb3backed Natus Vincere62c1,834$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.142218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-68.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbd…7d99backed Movistar KOI75c1,811$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.363969.2%27 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Movistar KOI1c1,801$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.011,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked Movistar KOI67c1,791$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20030160.8%183 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c27…eea9backed Movistar KOI75c1,759$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.432250%11 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Movistar KOI58c1,735$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00043151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1efc…1a6bbacked Natus Vincere41c1,713$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Movistar KOI67c1,707$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.012466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Movistar KOI60c1,681$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.3260445.4%274 W · 330 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Natus Vincere30c1,669$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.4877131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere39c1,600$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.142,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere31c1,588$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.41,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Movistar KOI40c1,573$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.6669756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Natus Vincere17c1,511$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.1725923.2%60 W · 199 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Movistar KOI67c1,500$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0058336.1%30 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked Movistar KOI68c1,500$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02025268.3%172 W · 80 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere38c1,500$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93571249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Movistar KOI71c1,500$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.9945739.6%181 W · 276 L-37.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Movistar KOI68c1,478$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011032.7%36 W · 74 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere27c1,457$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.912,67235.7%954 W · 1,718 L-153.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Movistar KOI69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Movistar KOI65c1,430$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.9751160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ad…6d7ebacked Movistar KOI71c1,412$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Natus Vincere10c1,410$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.0629527.1%80 W · 215 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Natus Vincere35c1,400$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.9932844.2%145 W · 183 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Movistar KOI64c1,400$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.931,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49a6…a658backed Natus Vincere36c1,378$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.8650051.6%258 W · 242 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa88d…072dbacked Movistar KOI75c1,341$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Movistar KOI70c1,329$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.1232952.9%174 W · 155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a8f…6353backed Movistar KOI51c1,329$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.479938.4%38 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Movistar KOI67c1,300$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87132345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Natus Vincere25c1,298$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.631,47648.3%713 W · 763 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed Movistar KOI67c1,289$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.363158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.