TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Movistar KOIof Natus Vincere, Movistar KOI
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$286,009
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$324,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,009 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf78…7736backed Natus Vincere41c48,741$19,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,995.396159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Natus Vincere18c30,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4001,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Natus Vincere1c21,910$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.1293.4%1 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-89.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Natus Vincere36c15,379$5,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.1831328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Movistar KOI75c10,800$8,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,656.7759952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Movistar KOI59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10090348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Natus Vincere24c9,700$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.8122624.8%56 W · 170 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Natus Vincere4c7,158$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.4729527.1%80 W · 215 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere39c6,501$2,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,524.591,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Movistar KOI79c4,881$3,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.0111035.5%39 W · 71 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere31c3,895$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.1648149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Movistar KOI59c3,281$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.9848448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Movistar KOI59c3,033$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.691,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Movistar KOI66c3,018$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.3843151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Movistar KOI59c3,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24085442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd812…2558backed Natus Vincere27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81021137%78 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.9982352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Movistar KOI61c2,935$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.651,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Movistar KOI70c2,861$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.4991854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Movistar KOI73c2,841$2,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.541,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d66…7799backed Movistar KOI60c2,721$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.634240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Movistar KOI79c2,673$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.2569756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Movistar KOI58c2,672$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.81,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Movistar KOI58c2,640$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.9739246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Movistar KOI65c2,631$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.8433143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Movistar KOI79c2,623$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.1718046.1%83 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked Movistar KOI79c2,533$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.836549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8f…6353backed Natus Vincere18c2,285$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.339938.4%38 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere33c2,090$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.911,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0905…d3f1backed Natus Vincere34c1,996$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.542751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Movistar KOI71c1,916$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.6781143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Movistar KOI58c1,752$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.952,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd49d…f05cbacked Movistar KOI59c1,730$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.35143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Movistar KOI72c1,667$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.991,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Movistar KOI63c1,610$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.851160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Movistar KOI66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Movistar KOI59c1,342$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.4476955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere31c1,289$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.021,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Movistar KOI59c1,280$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.878050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb268…5bb3backed Movistar KOI60c1,180$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.92218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-68.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Natus Vincere43c1,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Movistar KOI59c1,122$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.0211645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…2a2dbacked Movistar KOI61c1,080$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.4612458.1%72 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Movistar KOI58c1,032$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.7695041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Movistar KOI57c1,025$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.762,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere20c1,004$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.231,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Movistar KOI63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37095847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Natus Vincere32c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Movistar KOI67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Natus Vincere29c999.98$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9963546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25a4…2694backed Natus Vincere42c882.31$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.575263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d87…1cebbacked Natus Vincere23c872.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Movistar KOI61c830$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.71,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Movistar KOI61c800$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30986649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked Movistar KOI69c795.96$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.636048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Movistar KOI58c776.99$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.341,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Movistar KOI70c718.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.9995951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Movistar KOI66c688.46$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.737057.1%40 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Natus Vincere30c637.75$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19022349.3%110 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cd2…34e9backed Movistar KOI73c622.61$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2377545%349 W · 426 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Movistar KOI69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18649549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Movistar KOI78c600$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13242148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x217a…5dfabacked Movistar KOI79c572.33$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1947057.7%271 W · 199 L-27.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere33c554.96$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.142,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere32c524.76$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.822,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed Movistar KOI61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19541347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Movistar KOI70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.226942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbd…7d99backed Movistar KOI66c499.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1703969.2%27 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Natus Vincere36c499.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Movistar KOI61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.81,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c27…eea9backed Movistar KOI68c485.25$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.282250%11 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Movistar KOI69c485$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3567250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Movistar KOI64c470.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.311,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Movistar KOI58c426$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9227447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Movistar KOI59c424$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4599338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere21c400$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9233251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Movistar KOI69c386.68$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6536260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Movistar KOI69c381.53$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2713761.3%84 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Movistar KOI59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9816344.8%73 W · 90 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x68ab…e611backed Movistar KOI70c328.86$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.663348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Movistar KOI69c326.09$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0912137.2%45 W · 76 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Natus Vincere35c320.66$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6117348%83 W · 90 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Movistar KOI59c303.19$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.822,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Natus Vincere10c300$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.545937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60bd…2469backed Natus Vincere4c298.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13238.7%2 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c10…1a8bbacked Movistar KOI79c280$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.847064.3%302 W · 168 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad46…df49backed Natus Vincere40c277.15$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.866341.3%26 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Natus Vincere28c275.9$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2557947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…17e0backed Natus Vincere11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301097.3%8 W · 101 L-0.3wins0.00per pick8cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Movistar KOI78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.411,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x043e…a1fdbacked Natus Vincere40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Movistar KOI71c249.99$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.568557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d5…728fbacked Movistar KOI67c216.42$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.421346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ce…7824backed Natus Vincere28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere35c211.97$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5282044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5a…c59ebacked Movistar KOI67c210.69$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6914418.8%27 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa3…0d9abacked Movistar KOI71c210.32$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.322352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Natus Vincere20c208$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Natus Vincere19c200$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Natus Vincere30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6061143.5%266 W · 345 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.