TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x970a…6b89

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
440
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT41347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 413 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,080
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,569.75
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,375
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,254Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$909.76
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$808Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$807.55
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.45
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$625.58
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$602.05
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.8
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570.03
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,274Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+205.9%+$2,623.43
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.99
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+289.6%+$1,115
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,861Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+167.6%+$3,119.58
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+201.1%+$1,669.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+261.4%+$1,808.33
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+151.4%+$1,859.66
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,111.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$822.48
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.45
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$1,822.48
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$941Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$940.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs MIBR.LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked MIBR.LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.4
LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.52
Showing 25 of 413 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,640
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$463.99
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,183.99
France vs. England: France O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.99
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$804.97
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+55%+$355
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$709.99
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.99
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$610
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advancebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$710
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.99
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.99
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$365
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
All 22 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.