Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a2b7bc88220c7d60d4e67b0a23ca5f00d3598763e14aeaacad121da8973e75c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HULIGANIof Natus Vincere, HULIGANI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $348,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 51,006$32,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,519.76 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 41,681$23,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,629.34 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked HULIGANI | 28c | 31,090$8,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,520.56 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 16,837$11,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,025.64 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 12,437$8,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,855 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed HULIGANI | 30c | 11,025$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,727.54 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked HULIGANI | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed HULIGANI | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,999.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed HULIGANI | 30c | 9,000$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,330 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed HULIGANI | 45c | 8,672$3,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.83 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 7,403$4,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,252.93 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 5,927$3,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,906.81 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed HULIGANI | 30c | 5,012$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,516.21 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked HULIGANI | 30c | 4,715$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.5 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked HULIGANI | 66c | 3,503$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.53 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked HULIGANI | 41c | 3,301$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.59 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed HULIGANI | 39c | 3,289$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.41 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed HULIGANI | 38c | 2,953$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.83 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked HULIGANI | 27c | 2,800$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked HULIGANI | 46c | 2,726$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.81 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed HULIGANI | 31c | 2,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.99 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,440$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked HULIGANI | 41c | 2,414$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.36 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed HULIGANI | 35c | 2,315$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.93 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked HULIGANI | 32c | 2,310$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.41 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 2,298$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.51 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed HULIGANI | 41c | 2,268$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.71 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 2,226$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.29 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed HULIGANI | 43c | 2,140$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.12 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked HULIGANI | 32c | 2,041$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.18 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,900$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.99 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked HULIGANI | 44c | 1,868$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.6 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked HULIGANI | 40c | 1,814$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.88 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HULIGANI | 38c | 1,656$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.83 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed HULIGANI | 26c | 1,625$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.68 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed HULIGANI | 36c | 1,519$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.04 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,500$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.66 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HULIGANI | 50c | 1,458$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.89 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed HULIGANI | 70c | 1,446$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.17 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,404$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.26 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,400$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed HULIGANI | 46c | 1,280$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.47 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked HULIGANI | 38c | 1,146$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.47 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,129$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed HULIGANI | 39c | 1,113$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.37 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,100$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.17 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,099$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…78d6backed HULIGANI | 34c | 1,037$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,035$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.95 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked HULIGANI | 45c | 1,003$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.54 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed HULIGANI | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.82 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed HULIGANI | 31c | 1,000$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.85 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f1…45e1backed HULIGANI | 46c | 978.26$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed HULIGANI | 47c | 975.89$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.22 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked HULIGANI | 41c | 941.65$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.65 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 939.41$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.64 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 923.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HULIGANI | 45c | 915.86$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.42 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked HULIGANI | 35c | 870$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.5 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed HULIGANI | 73c | 858.17$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.75 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 847.9$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.48 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked HULIGANI | 46c | 832.28$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.65 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 806.32$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.56 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked HULIGANI | 26c | 783.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.28 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 768.72$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.73 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HULIGANI | 28c | 749.97$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 722.62$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.66 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 712.46$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.48 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 698.3$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.39 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed HULIGANI | 33c | 693$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.31 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1c…90d2backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 667.98$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 650$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.5 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed HULIGANI | 38c | 648.25$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.76 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed HULIGANI | 31c | 640.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.52 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 639.73$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.12 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 593.4$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.21 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed HULIGANI | 46c | 585.08$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.02 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 584.32$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.04 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed HULIGANI | 77c | 579.68$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.14 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed HULIGANI | 54c | 558.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked HULIGANI | 45c | 542.53$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.16 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HULIGANI | 39c | 542.51$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.34 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed HULIGANI | 29c | 517$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.07 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed HULIGANI | 38c | 516.71$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.9 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 512.99$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.28 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed HULIGANI | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed HULIGANI | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed HULIGANI | 51c | 500$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.75 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed HULIGANI | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked HULIGANI | 36c | 480.68$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.08 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91cc…f388backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 480.64$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5480…b38cbacked HULIGANI | 34c | 479.68$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.08 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked HULIGANI | 33c | 478.86$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.14 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 471.18$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.7 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked HULIGANI | 37c | 463.19$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.01 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 447.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsHULIGANI won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)HULIGANI won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.