Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5264e6b5489ac5c1c657c0001e54ac0f0ef262713ef8e551533e21badcd0c775
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HULIGANIof Natus Vincere, HULIGANI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $741,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $815,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $741,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 642 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked HULIGANI | 27c | 31,739$8,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,062.41 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed HULIGANI | 45c | 25,658$11,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,236.46 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed HULIGANI | 49c | 25,252$12,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,878.73 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed HULIGANI | 33c | 24,768$8,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,570.91 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 23,742$16,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,602.01 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 19,017$11,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,741.89 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 16,568$8,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,749.81 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked HULIGANI | 26c | 15,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,049.94 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed HULIGANI | 35c | 14,279$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,254.06 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked HULIGANI | 43c | 12,359$5,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,985.51 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed HULIGANI | 30c | 11,500$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,106.28 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed HULIGANI | 33c | 9,136$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.88 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed HULIGANI | 49c | 8,080$3,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,113.2 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…d417backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 7,659$5,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,790.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed HULIGANI | 49c | 7,000$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked HULIGANI | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.98 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 6,860$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004.19 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 6,551$4,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,554.08 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 6,504$4,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,603.48 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 6,279$4,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,428.38 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked HULIGANI | 29c | 6,179$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,382.29 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed HULIGANI | 40c | 6,000$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,602.77 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed HULIGANI | 24c | 5,936$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,484.62 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 5,931$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 5,402$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.49 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked HULIGANI | 40c | 5,115$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.85 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 5,013$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,874.46 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 5,001$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550.62 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 5,000$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.81 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 4,993$3,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,553 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…1b2ebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 4,750$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.48 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked HULIGANI | 40c | 4,658$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.86 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 4,419$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.76 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 4,412$3,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.41 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked HULIGANI | 54c | 4,270$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.44 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed HULIGANI | 24c | 4,054$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.97 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed HULIGANI | 40c | 4,048$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.36 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 4,000$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed HULIGANI | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.97 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 3,958$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.17 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…ab42backed HULIGANI | 29c | 3,929$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked HULIGANI | 40c | 3,830$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.5 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed HULIGANI | 51c | 3,789$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.78 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…b21abacked HULIGANI | 21c | 3,667$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed HULIGANI | 49c | 3,511$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.74 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HULIGANI | 30c | 3,502$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.45 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked HULIGANI | 29c | 3,500$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HULIGANI | 25c | 3,500$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.48 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…b2e1backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 3,390$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 3,379$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.66 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed HULIGANI | 51c | 3,294$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.5 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 3,267$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 3,200$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.99 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 3,194$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.56 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f14…ec62backed HULIGANI | 43c | 3,102$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked HULIGANI | 28c | 3,079$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.67 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed HULIGANI | 38c | 3,038$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.62 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 2,996$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.54 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed HULIGANI | 44c | 2,927$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.48 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,888$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.88 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 2,723$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed HULIGANI | 24c | 2,633$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.27 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed HULIGANI | 39c | 2,598$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.94 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed HULIGANI | 33c | 2,591$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.22 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…78d6backed HULIGANI | 40c | 2,533$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 2,521$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.97 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…87bdbacked HULIGANI | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…42e3backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,468$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed HULIGANI | 39c | 2,352$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.35 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,332$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…29bcbacked HULIGANI | 28c | 2,220$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.38 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 2,206$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.95 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed HULIGANI | 51c | 2,096$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.22 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed HULIGANI | 28c | 2,001$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.39 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 2,000$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.56 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed HULIGANI | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.99 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,000$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.98 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,983$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.92 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 1,950$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.25 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed HULIGANI | 29c | 1,941$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.68 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,920$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,917$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.3 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,914$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.49 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,911$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.67 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked HULIGANI | 26c | 1,866$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.16 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed HULIGANI | 35c | 1,847$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.04 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…ab72backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,770$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,715$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,704$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.14 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed HULIGANI | 29c | 1,666$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.86 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,653$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,633$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed HULIGANI | 43c | 1,620$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.11 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked HULIGANI | 39c | 1,580$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.48 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…98fabacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,559$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed HULIGANI | 28c | 1,547$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.64 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 WinnerHULIGANI won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)HULIGANI won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.