Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6958241d15c4c9cda2fbbbc5d8713075da92732338d73bccfc7489cb93b1e690
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, HULIGANI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $294,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed HULIGANI | 11c | 30,402$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.97 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked HULIGANI | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.89 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 13,576$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,276.41 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked HULIGANI | 23c | 11,513$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,681.52 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed HULIGANI | 29c | 9,647$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.84 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed HULIGANI | 29c | 8,512$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.43 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed HULIGANI | 29c | 8,492$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.79 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 7,643$5,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.67 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 7,500$5,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.4 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked HULIGANI | 30c | 7,307$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 6,755$5,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.28 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed HULIGANI | 16c | 6,466$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.2 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked HULIGANI | 19c | 6,447$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.38 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 6,250$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.97 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed HULIGANI | 29c | 5,830$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.38 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 5,735$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.87 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 5,663$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.06 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 5,019$3,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.14 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 5,000$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.99 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed HULIGANI | 32c | 4,543$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.76 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f14…ec62backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 3,995$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…dd9abacked HULIGANI | 31c | 3,800$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 3,714$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.29 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed HULIGANI | 30c | 3,078$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.38 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 2,600$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.86 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 2,421$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.1 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed HULIGANI | 14c | 2,321$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.22 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed HULIGANI | 25c | 2,016$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.26 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed HULIGANI | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 1,902$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.47 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HULIGANI | 27c | 1,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed HULIGANI | 27c | 1,499$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.95 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,347$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.63 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,325$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.68 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked HULIGANI | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed HULIGANI | 24c | 1,100$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.4 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 1,097$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.53 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked HULIGANI | 9c | 1,088$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed HULIGANI | 28c | 1,005$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.19 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed HULIGANI | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed HULIGANI | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed HULIGANI | 31c | 987.19$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.03 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 950$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 900$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 872.33$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.13 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked HULIGANI | 30c | 816.39$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.92 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 812$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.48 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked HULIGANI | 8c | 811.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed HULIGANI | 5c | 790.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked HULIGANI | 20c | 774.4$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.88 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 757.42$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.93 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 718.31$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.31 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed HULIGANI | 18c | 712.38$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 704.7$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.41 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed HULIGANI | 16c | 700$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed HULIGANI | 7c | 681.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 670$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…8676backed HULIGANI | 16c | 603.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 600$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed HULIGANI | 31c | 599.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed HULIGANI | 16c | 595.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 556.94$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.08 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 547.37$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.68 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed HULIGANI | 10c | 520.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed HULIGANI | 16c | 500.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 500.01$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HULIGANI | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed HULIGANI | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked HULIGANI | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb983…20e6backed HULIGANI | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HULIGANI | 14c | 476.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked HULIGANI | 35c | 469.53$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.34 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed HULIGANI | 15c | 448.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed HULIGANI | 28c | 410$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 409.35$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.91 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 408.55$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 401.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.58 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 400$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 362.24$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.67 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…701ebacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 360$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed HULIGANI | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…f6c5backed HULIGANI | 8c | 337.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed HULIGANI | 22c | 333.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 319$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.51 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 306.5$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 306.31$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed HULIGANI | 32c | 292.46$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 255.71$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.27 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked HULIGANI | 17c | 251.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed HULIGANI | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed HULIGANI | 15c | 249.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked HULIGANI | 30c | 236.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HULIGANI | 14c | 233$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 229.62$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed HULIGANI | 32c | 212.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…fdbbbacked HULIGANI | 26c | 212$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked HULIGANI | 15c | 205.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsHULIGANI won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 WinnerHULIGANI won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)HULIGANI won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.