TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4d60…be72

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
250
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 63 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT19949.2%98 W · 101 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 199 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.39
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Poor Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$80.32
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$13.69
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.94
Dota 2: Level UP vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.33
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$32.19
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$153.95
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+610.5%+$116
Dota 2: Hive vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$59.12
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+168.3%+$158.84
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 199 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.29per pick32cpaid+132.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$56.45
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+339.7%+$112.09
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+245.9%+$46.73
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+602.4%+$487.91
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+306.2%+$128.59
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+751.2%+$172.78
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+297.9%+$49.46
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$23.16
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$33.43
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+352.9%+$282.3
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25.2%+$10.4
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+30.7%+$4.7
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DeFi Technologies (DEFT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.