Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb722ba1a34f3fc0d94cc3a2ce3a6cf5d93f2eec93e71d5f5449fdf7c2bde65b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $940,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $822,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $940,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 478 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 19c | 46,986$9,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,055.33 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed No | 21c | 34,092$7,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,820.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…26f2backed No | 80c | 22,491$17,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,498.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5148…cd81backed No | 77c | 17,603$13,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,981.14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…4050backed Yes | 6c | 17,572$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.41 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…4381backed Yes | 15c | 12,299$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 30c | 12,169$3,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,477.85 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 22c | 9,777$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,610.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 4c | 9,358$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.63 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 0c | 8,990$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 32c | 8,889$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked No | 68c | 8,800$5,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a9…22eabacked Yes | 7c | 8,204$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked Yes | 39c | 7,829$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed No | 44c | 7,821$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,356.53 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…2090backed No | 79c | 6,800$5,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 6c | 6,754$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.36 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 18c | 6,481$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.17 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 31c | 5,997$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.46 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 2c | 5,976$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 19c | 5,758$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.07 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 15c | 5,500$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 24c | 5,403$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.28 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 33c | 5,196$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.48 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…c024backed Yes | 79c | 4,605$3,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637.66 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4581…30a3backed Yes | 15c | 4,500$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 74c | 4,400$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 24c | 4,240$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.91 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…9c7abacked Yes | 80c | 4,102$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,269.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Yes | 5c | 4,096$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 4,073$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed No | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 47c | 3,824$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.26 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 78c | 3,758$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.26 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed Yes | 79c | 3,750$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 14c | 3,526$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.04 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 76c | 3,333$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.08 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fe…5033backed Yes | 69c | 3,285$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 1c | 3,240$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 43c | 3,162$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.77 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee1…640fbacked No | 67c | 3,095$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…4692backed No | 32c | 3,084$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 2c | 3,011$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed No | 46c | 2,982$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.55 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed Yes | 2c | 2,880$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 23c | 2,570$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.08 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 78c | 2,568$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…7ba1backed Yes | 47c | 2,489$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…1773backed No | 65c | 2,391$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.57 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed No | 78c | 2,149$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1410…a67dbacked No | 66c | 2,147$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.43 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed Yes | 70c | 2,130$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 27c | 2,128$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.17 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.1 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…72ebbacked Yes | 77c | 1,809$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.02 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,798$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x111e…f237backed Yes | 22c | 1,772$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 20c | 1,765$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.3 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x242d…603abacked Yes | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…4a81backed Yes | 2c | 1,718$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,700$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.53 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed No | 52c | 1,665$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…1f4cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,600$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…13cfbacked Yes | 44c | 1,596$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,485$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.35 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x567d…f927backed No | 67c | 1,482$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…bc55backed No | 67c | 1,480$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2676…7b08backed Yes | 12c | 1,469$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 12c | 1,409$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.44 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd609…b8c1backed Yes | 36c | 1,392$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed No | 72c | 1,379$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 77c | 1,339$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.97 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5107…4106backed Yes | 13c | 1,333$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe587…9d4dbacked No | 23c | 1,321$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +225.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27cd…b39dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,312$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe51…c0d3backed Yes | 76c | 1,231$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 15c | 1,226$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.86 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…8c78backed No | 25c | 1,222$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +307.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,212$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.09 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 76c | 1,211$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.98 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 6c | 1,191$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 28c | 1,164$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.43 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 33c | 1,140$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.55 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f6…1584backed Yes | 78c | 1,125$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a32…ebbfbacked No | 25c | 1,118$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +296.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked No | 73c | 1,110$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.97 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…3c87backed Yes | 68c | 1,100$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1675…e907backed Yes | 66c | 1,078$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…b8f4backed Yes | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Yes | 23c | 1,012$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed No | 52c | 1,000$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked No | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d73…bae7backed Yes | 78c | 999.99$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…6884backed Yes | 79c | 997.12$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f4…29c3backed Yes | 17c | 940.16$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…2736backed No | 73c | 920$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…2518backed No | 58c | 916.71$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?this page
- Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.