Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40a0d836da9f5e6b4abfa237330e23895ad89ecd10abb0d48e5347b91d2dba3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $336,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 21,432$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.94 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 50c | 18,078$9,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,021.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d73…ad14backed Yes | 56c | 16,116$8,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,985 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 1c | 12,315$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11b…cf6bbacked Yes | 59c | 8,406$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 0c | 8,359$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 7,837$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.82 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 6,253$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.6 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…03cfbacked Yes | 3c | 6,109$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac22…5442backed Yes | 11c | 5,910$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.16 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 19c | 5,106$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.53 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 7c | 4,698$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 37c | 4,309$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.97 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 6c | 3,920$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 26c | 2,839$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.9 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c12…4afebacked Yes | 1c | 2,792$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 2c | 2,752$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…9b80backed Yes | 8c | 2,513$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…573abacked Yes | 35c | 2,005$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes | 31c | 1,939$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 18c | 1,890$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 42c | 1,725$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.68 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 70c | 1,557$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.3 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd702…019cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,511$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9100…1bfbbacked Yes | 13c | 1,501$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Yes | 39c | 1,423$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x867d…3f3bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,422$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed Yes | 24c | 1,416$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.86 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 9c | 1,332$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…55b2backed Yes | 2c | 1,311$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 6c | 1,300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 79c | 1,128$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.95 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…7a05backed Yes | 2c | 1,123$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 37c | 1,121$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.14 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…9c7abacked No | 55c | 1,050$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…d6a4backed Yes | 4c | 1,038$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…35e5backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 956.2$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700c…9368backed Yes | 2c | 952.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c17…83c8backed No | 74c | 902.58$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.92 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed No | 70c | 899.68$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 2c | 887.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 27c | 871.33$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.76 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5527…223abacked Yes | 1c | 839.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…08ffbacked Yes | 8c | 830.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 5c | 748.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8199…bb6dbacked Yes | 29c | 737.19$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.27 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.34per pick | 45cpaid | +98%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Yes | 30c | 730.11$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.41 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 5c | 719.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…df41backed Yes | 7c | 715$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 15c | 657.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 34c | 644.6$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.82 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…90a4backed Yes | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 54c | 569.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.59 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 15c | 520$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…283fbacked Yes | 31c | 516.13$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 18c | 511$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…5f3ebacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…bf7fbacked No | 78c | 480.93$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a79…8e05backed Yes | 33c | 465$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…7c86backed No | 65c | 461.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked No | 66c | 443.99$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 4c | 423.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…f611backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1f…ba52backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 390.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec67…86b9backed No | 74c | 370$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f3…ae51backed Yes | 28c | 356.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 45c | 350$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.72 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed No | 68c | 350$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 59c | 322.01$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed No | 44c | 320$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…713dbacked Yes | 12c | 316.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…0f7bbacked Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a8…6c09backed Yes | 41c | 299.22$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…03afbacked Yes | 5c | 298.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 30c | 288.52$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked No | 71c | 281.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 278.45$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…03c7backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…8184backed No | 74c | 269.25$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 37c | 264.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3c…6e8fbacked Yes | 38c | 260.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…b97bbacked Yes | 9c | 255.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 31c | 255$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 113 | 22.1%25 W · 88 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…4cd6backed No | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…ab04backed Yes | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 41c | 239.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…5002backed Yes | 39c | 228.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…a664backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…1288backed Yes | 33c | 214.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?this page
- Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.