Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8ad779f49fc9051a44de57a22b2ffe8608b0a2a7de46f728cbd6bce81a5bc54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,731,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,674,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,731,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,054 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 18c | 36,762$6,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,220.14 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.27per pick | 38cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 63c | 32,000$20,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,800 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 32c | 30,845$9,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,882.59 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1f…8643backed No | 50c | 29,936$15,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,935.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 49c | 27,173$13,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,316.3 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…06d5backed No | 28c | 25,378$7,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,234.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 77c | 22,892$17,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,589.29 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 22c | 22,770$4,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,778.86 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b32…f703backed Yes | 17c | 22,375$3,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…4050backed Yes | 23c | 21,016$4,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,926.42 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Yes | 21c | 20,599$4,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,367.74 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 55c | 20,000$10,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,920 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 39c | 19,631$7,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,729.34 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 6c | 19,454$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 20c | 19,150$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,283.16 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed No | 15c | 14,371$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,259.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 40c | 14,325$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,719.98 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 15c | 14,254$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.48 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 13,729$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422.14 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 23c | 11,985$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 21c | 11,106$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,824.02 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 15c | 10,855$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,175.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…1773backed No | 16c | 10,374$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,674.46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fe…5033backed Yes | 74c | 10,203$7,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,552.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 22c | 9,911$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 13c | 9,868$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.96 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…8d6bbacked Yes | 61c | 9,187$5,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,642.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68f9…db9cbacked Yes | 23c | 9,100$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed No | 58c | 8,950$5,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 16c | 8,569$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,193.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c17…83c8backed No | 68c | 8,564$5,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.89 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 79c | 8,492$6,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.35 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 21c | 7,923$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.91 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…0f00backed Yes | 1c | 7,620$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 18c | 7,610$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.05 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2218…3e73backed Yes | 42c | 7,603$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 35c | 7,560$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.97 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 46c | 7,451$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.03 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f30…12c3backed No | 63c | 7,214$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.86 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…33cbbacked No | 39c | 7,090$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,302.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 7c | 7,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 32c | 7,000$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 38c | 6,998$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,352.17 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 65c | 6,820$4,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.26 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 16c | 6,646$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.86 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 54c | 6,636$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.49 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 37c | 6,588$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.37 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 40c | 6,118$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.43 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 17c | 6,000$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,952.74 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…5839backed No | 77c | 6,000$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 19c | 5,817$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 48c | 5,641$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.18 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 10c | 5,637$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.2 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed No | 74c | 5,614$4,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.7 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bf…c877backed No | 37c | 5,456$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +215%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 15c | 5,439$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.36 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 79c | 5,433$4,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,277.86 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Yes | 79c | 5,331$4,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,205.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 11c | 5,006$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.12 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2731…2928backed No | 71c | 4,704$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…e05cbacked No | 16c | 4,703$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 27c | 4,643$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.81 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…64bbbacked No | 77c | 4,631$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.18 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…cb39backed No | 53c | 4,610$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.01 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 21c | 4,600$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.93 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 25c | 4,557$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.94 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b21…deb6backed No | 58c | 4,471$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 40c | 4,312$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.69 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Yes | 18c | 4,194$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…4ac4backed No | 77c | 4,171$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.59 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 33c | 4,163$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.32 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed No | 75c | 4,116$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.75 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 64cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 70c | 4,089$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.48 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 19c | 3,943$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84a9…22eabacked Yes | 18c | 3,939$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 26c | 3,900$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.13 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 17c | 3,889$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.31 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…5503backed No | 67c | 3,877$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.3 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 12c | 3,860$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.75 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 20c | 3,809$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.13 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 3,800$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 74c | 3,796$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.45 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked No | 57c | 3,600$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…5903backed Yes | 73c | 3,582$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…9b80backed Yes | 28c | 3,525$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…ed32backed Yes | 67c | 3,497$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.19 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed No | 33c | 3,486$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.75 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked No | 50c | 3,411$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.41per pick | 37cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 44c | 3,393$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.01 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a7…18e3backed No | 77c | 3,350$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 68c | 3,333$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.1 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x506d…6654backed No | 75c | 3,332$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 23c | 3,315$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 55c | 3,291$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x932f…aeb6backed Yes | 75c | 3,139$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b0…e5f9backed Yes | 26c | 3,137$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed No | 74c | 3,108$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6635…3eeebacked No | 77c | 3,100$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb133…e8cebacked Yes | 32c | 3,099$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b3…6486backed No | 65c | 3,069$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?this page
- Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.