TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cd5…ac33

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
407
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
23

Best Category: Tweets, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 58 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT7558.7%44 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$62.25
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37,661Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$9,514.57
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.07
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$175.54
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+158.3%+$299.05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,685Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$1,743.16
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.36
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$149.28
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,811Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$493.31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$48.89
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.62
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,087Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$414.98
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.75
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$185.17
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$384.18
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$6,687Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,686.85
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$7,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,487.96
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?backed Ceasefire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$24.2
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,489Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$1,827.49
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$126.54
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.32
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,316Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$1,835.95
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40,629Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$11,249.61
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,365Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$1,137.05
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39,095Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$12,452.53
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT4553.3%24 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.7
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$136.57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.02
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$68.82
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$83.95
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,414Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+54.5%+$2,406.26
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$8,434Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.7%+$3,097.81
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19,042.08
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$586.09
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.1%+$926.4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.3%+$4.96
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13,240.07
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$34.5
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$8.25
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$186.48
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,377Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+31.8%+$754.85
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,348.37
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?backed Gaza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,231Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+25.7%+$573.11
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$858Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$858.03
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$273.29
Will Russia capture Udachne by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$773.55
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,838Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,837.61
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,695Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$1,104.61
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$120.09
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT4055%22 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,333.37
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.77
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.9%+$224.91
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$266.4
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,723Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$926.5
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$66.6
Will Maurice Kamto win the Cameroon Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+70.7%+$372.8
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,264Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+26.5%+$599.52
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,733Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$489.08
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+562.8%+$4,037.59
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$112,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$112,204.96
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+122.7%+$551
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,741.73
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27,258Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+133.7%+$36,453.6
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?backed Dan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.26
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$334.36
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$44,086.25
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$69,746.78
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10,651Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+30.6%+$3,259.41
Will the SPD be part of the next German government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$9,054Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$2,268.75
Will Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,512Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+35.5%+$537.5
Georgescu banned from Romania election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$56
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3658.3%21 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$117.09
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$992.69
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,881Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+32%+$601.19
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.8
Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+38.3%+$235.04
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+37.6%+$91.08
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$382.36
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$426.24
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$58,268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$58,268.08
Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,153.29
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+41.7%+$314.83
Federal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$23.7
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,447Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+34.6%+$2,229.94
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Sunday June  22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,714Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$943.71
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$69.46
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+25%+$93.25
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22,927Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$5,943.57
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$33
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$291.09
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$178.18
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$248.67
Will Trump increase tariffs on China before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,974Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,974.49
Will Trump create 'gold card' citizenship before April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,591Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+70.7%+$1,124.38
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3253.1%17 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,424Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.4%+$404.52
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,985Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,984.64
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$3,501.2
Will Solana dip to $120 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,817Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,816.57
Will Solana dip to $110 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,319Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.2%+$583.86
Will XRP dip to $1.70 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11,294Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4,391.85
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.5%+$1,515.75
Solana all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+50.4%+$223.11
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,357Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+55.2%+$1,853.16
Will XRP reach $2.00 December 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+33.3%+$55.5
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,298Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,297.98
Will XRP dip to $1.80 December 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,188.58
Will XRP dip to $1.90 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$63.83
Will XRP dip to $1.90 December 8-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,547Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+40%+$1,418.51
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 December 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$8.68
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,231Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+32%+$2,313.19
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$563.22
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,401Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+25.8%+$361.65
Will XRP dip to $1.90 November 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,651Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$2,651.48
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 November 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11,736Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11,736.23
Will Solana dip to $180 October 27-November 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$267.75
Solana reach 225 September 1–7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,712Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+31%+$841.85
Will Solana reach $220 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+86%+$461.95
Will Solana reach $230 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$8,773Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$2,431.16
Will Solana reach $210 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,467Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,467.37
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$128.37
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$116.55
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$422.26
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.2%+$667.81
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,622Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25.2%+$409.39
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$124.2
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,968Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$1,337.23
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,462Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$400.51
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+40.4%+$325.46
Suchir Balaji foul play determined before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$275.94
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,411.95
Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11,638.68
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+115.9%+$190.59
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$206.81
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+26.6%+$31.5
Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18,375Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+29.7%+$5,466.37
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+129.8%+$876.78
Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$197.42
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$130
NBA Finals: Will any game go to overtime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$172.03
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,343.05
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$9,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,358.99
Will the Celtics beat the Knicks 4-0backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$630
Will Payton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,842Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+36.2%+$1,027.6
Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$871Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$871.2
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10,132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+38.7%+$3,917.85
Will another player lead the NBA in Rebounds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$883Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+83.7%+$739.34
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+35.1%+$17.42
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+34.6%+$122.58
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+39.6%+$186.02
All 14 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$669.98
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$47.29
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$49.23
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+300%+$507
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+30.1%+$38.45
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,863Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,862.69
Will Rihanna release an album in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.6%+$368.98
Will Music (Playboi Carti) be nominated for Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$237.55
Will Jay-Z settle with his accuser before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+72.6%+$278.88
Will Chappell Roan win Best New Artist?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+41.3%+$22.6
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+52.4%+$3,202.69
Diddy sex tape released before November? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$48.76
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Goal be Scored During 1-15 Minute?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$16.1
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,489Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$495.08
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$598.72
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$121.69
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.06
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$42.2
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,033.92
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,358.34
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+59.1%+$65.73
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,611Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$5,610.73
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$61.67
Will Mali vs. Zambia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$194.56
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$42.18
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$51.93
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.4
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,704Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.3%+$872.7
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+32.1%+$35.48
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$395.35
Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 120m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.6
Will 'Snow White' gross between 44-49m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.29
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$51.9
Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross less than $16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+26.6%+$95.55
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$142.24
Will 'Sonic 3' gross more than $80m on 3-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$1,451.97
Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross less than $16m on 3-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+42%+$181.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.95
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+55.9%+$143.36
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+148%+$772.12
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+26.6%+$14.7
Will Elon Musk tweet 750-799 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$179.94
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+267.2%+$1,063.89
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,352Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+94%+$1,271.79
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,409.16
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+66.7%+$22
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$847Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+51.5%+$436.09
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,781Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+39.1%+$2,258.11
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$19.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$463.3
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$132.06
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,845Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$596.41
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14,314.81
Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$474
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,479Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+31.9%+$471.44
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$56.87
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$330.86
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12,997Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+33.4%+$4,338.02
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$15,462.62
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.22
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51%+$323.48
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$258.34
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,361Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.7%+$567.34
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,027.9
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$327.68
Will Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$320
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,966Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+31.9%+$627.54
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$3,713.98
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2025, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ashton Jeanty get drafted in the First Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$125.97
Will Roddy Ricch perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+25.7%+$28.6
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Like That"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18.45
Will Future perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+37%+$44.55
Will SZA perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+25%+$40
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$83.25
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,982Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,981.68
Will Mike Evans reach 1,000 receiving yards this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,922Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+28.9%+$1,133.1
Will Davante Adams be traded before the deadline?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$23
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$69.93
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$116.22
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$364
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$4,182.54
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,763Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+30.9%+$2,400.18
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11,786Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+30.2%+$3,555.94
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,849Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+44.2%+$2,142.15
Will a Democrat win Michigan US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,987Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+38.1%+$3,044.66
All 8 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick64cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,371.99
Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+45%+$169.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Swiatek (W) backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$66.5
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,595.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$352.8
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,699.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,556Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$813.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,442Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+37%+$533.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the USA win Gold in Women's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+26.3%+$23.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iowa beat Iowa State?backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.