TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,665

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf8cc…5a82backed No65c2,888$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.111612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-76.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes36c2,700$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.312523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb9e…bde4backed No29c1,960$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…be05backed Yes43c1,635$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.836225.8%16 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No17c1,595$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.413345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed Yes35c1,300$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8453658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Yes71c1,166$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.17366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes71c1,111$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.191723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No29c1,005$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.457433.8%25 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3102254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3102055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked No41c822.63$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.71747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccf…b88ebacked Yes74c802.14$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No31c793.1$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.861741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1340…a94ebacked Yes74c644$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…c86dbacked Yes33c542.77$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.081060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Yes55c540.94$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.943321.2%7 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed No9c510.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.42137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-86.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1af…d889backed No4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37af…5d17backed Yes73c413.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes33c404.11$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.755733.3%19 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No31c398.78$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.622669.2%18 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8b0d…1744backed Yes30c390.47$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.798427.4%23 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Yes34c350$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2313420.6%7 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3bc…927abacked Yes70c328.57$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.571546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed No19c324.73$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No67c323.11$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.7212353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2c…c0a0backed Yes72c312.92$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.171233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d73…7bd9backed Yes69c258.01$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick33cpaid+84.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x814a…25adbacked Yes70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45a1…d31fbacked No29c231.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.32420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad0…a9d8backed No39c230$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb566…d25dbacked Yes70c223.54$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No28c209.54$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6712246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes38c200$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc631…76f6backed Yes41c199$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.41922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-56.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccce…2c7cbacked Yes62c195.74$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd6…d50dbacked Yes66c152.12$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.12742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.934040%16 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d4…84a1backed Yes67c139.96$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.823259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed No35c123$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.051421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-54%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89d9…a9bdbacked No33c107.58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d91…863dbacked Yes65c103.92$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.37742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Yes70c102.93$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.882548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x905c…e0d2backed No70c101.74$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.29540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f4…7700backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaab…24ddbacked No17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172035%7 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a3e…271dbacked Yes72c92.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c5…67e0backed No31c87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.97450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a48…22e8backed No65c86.56$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.152259.1%13 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed No47c85.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc28f…ff77backed No32c81.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+72.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c1b…109ebacked Yes72c80.21$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3689…bbfdbacked No31c76.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Yes72c75.4$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.116246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83f2…85babacked Yes34c74.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.152128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…3787backed Yes71c71.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+95.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7733…6467backed Yes72c69.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aee…b3e3backed Yes72c68.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ced…b02bbacked Yes74c65.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.79450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb99…8c33backed No41c63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.622152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb883…21b8backed No31c60.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc33…4569backed No31c60.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0934…f376backed Yes39c56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.244566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes36c55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.957733.8%26 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed No25c54.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.531540%6 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76bc…009fbacked No32c53.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x716f…8929backed No30c51.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.156827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8330…f9c9backed Yes72c45.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No70c44.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3212646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Yes36c43.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7914356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f7e…8a48backed Yes43c43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.72850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13ff…a36bbacked No31c42.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8803…eb1dbacked No70c41.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.27366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9438…0e4ebacked No31c41.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e4…8b5ebacked No31c41.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2105…b560backed Yes71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Yes68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.810051%51 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No30c39.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8912325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad7…03d8backed Yes71c34.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a48…b9ecbacked Yes52c34.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff4f…9ef1backed Yes67c34.31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.43450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No44c34.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.152944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed No70c33.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.796835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeb4…f7b6backed Yes74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78fa…dcc7backed No32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e4f…1682backed No32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972c…819dbacked Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.992268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ba7…1ba3backed Yes72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x709b…d717backed Yes59c24.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.211547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa866…6c77backed No71c19.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1cf…b08dbacked Yes78c17.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab9…a7f1backed Yes72c15.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.