TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73cb…b0d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
189
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: World Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT7647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,354.38
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30,119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+261.6%+$78,785.35
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$754.68
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$767.3
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,323.26
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$7,267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+170.2%+$12,367.46
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,538.71
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,565Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$2,681.31
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49,479Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$14,770.05
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$56,369Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$15,898.83
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+47.3%+$178.91
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$25,135.75
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$375.84
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.19
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$933Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$933.02
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,496Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,495.71
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$428.13
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,366.54
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$190.72
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$679.75
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,986Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$3,324.04
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$1,500.25
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14,797Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,796.59
Jazz vs. Hornetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$6,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,094.19
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10,644Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,643.67
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT3839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$4,828Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,828.17
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55,116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+180%+$99,188.74
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,347.83
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$103,815Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$26,406.71
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$6,233Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,232.77
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,123.57
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$344.81
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$3,991Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,991.37
Champions League Quarterfinals: PSG vs. Aston Villabacked Aston Villa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.73
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Croatia vs. Francebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$707.53
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Netherlands vs. Spainbacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$198.23
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,334.27
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,606.24
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29,030Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+60.8%+$17,651.65
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,337Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$909
Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Atlético Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,657Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,656.76
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$1,100.58
Will Arsenal vs. PSV Eindhoven end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$303.77
Will Aston Villa vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$233
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,374Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$951.68
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$408.87
Will Lille vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$319
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$9,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,218.23
Will Inter win on 2025-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$195.62
Will Liverpool vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,752Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$917.34
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Isak be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.11
Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$103
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,108.54
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.73
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,328Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,327.55
Will Brighton win on 2025-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,256Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+51%+$3,192.36
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$18,708.29
Will Ipswich win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,306.36
Will Fulham win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,548Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,548
Will Newcastle win on 2025-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,800.82
Will West Ham win on 2025-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,024Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$1,643.56
Will West Ham win on 2025-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$984.81
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$49.57
Will Manchester United vs. Ipswich end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+29.9%+$53.3
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,459Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+58.7%+$1,444.24
Will Everton win on 2025-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+37%+$183.1
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$886Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+108.3%+$960.19
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,367Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$1,183.17
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,514Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+29.9%+$1,945.77
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24,038Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+31.5%+$7,569.84
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,701Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,770.65
Will Manchester City vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$8,363Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+35.1%+$2,938.32
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+45.1%+$141.16
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15,831Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15,831.24
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,600
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,890.41
Flames vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,965.37
Islanders vs. Penguinsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$214.96
Red Wings vs. Capitalsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,739Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,738.5
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,547Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$1,495.61
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$38.05
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$9,088Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$9,088.28
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$6,419.49
Blues vs. Capitalsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$6,706Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+150.3%+$10,082.34
Jets vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$452.92
Will USA win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,821Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+103.8%+$8,117.7
Will Canada win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,329Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+101.4%+$6,417.46
Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,004Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$9,371.75
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick28cpaid+58.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$5,827Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+203%+$11,830.32
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$7,052Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+195.4%+$13,779.43
Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,681Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+222.8%+$10,428
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19,560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+224.8%+$43,968.69
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,903Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,903.46
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,489Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$6,945.75
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,113.94
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,446Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$2,445.54
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,642Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,642.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+307.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Artur Beterbiev vs. Dmitry Bivolbacked Bivol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,941Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+122.2%+$7,261.67
Vergil Ortiz Jr. vs. Israil Madrimovbacked Ortiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,758Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+100%+$1,757.5
Zhilei Zhang vs. Agit Kabayelbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,721Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$4,721.37
Joshua Buatsi vs. Callum Smithbacked Buatsi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,440.13
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alex Pereira win by KO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$188.08
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,087.09
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$30.94
Kape vs. Almabayevbacked Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+53.8%+$527.88
All 4 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UC San Diego vs. Michiganbacked UC San Diego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,516Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,516.49
Drake vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$792.97
North Carolina vs. San Diego Statebacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$7,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,264.41
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,526Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$2,070.63
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,256.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy beat Germanybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$128.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$369.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft get traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.