Champions League · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x365b4805cdd891562f5257879d694c2e743c6aefa0c0bfb71a499533bf0e4b43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 38c | 19,736$7,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,278.76 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 62c | 18,586$11,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,524.32 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 63c | 14,632$9,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,218.23 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Yes | 36c | 13,400$4,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,565.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 45c | 11,387$5,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,107.07 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 63c | 10,911$6,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,873.74 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 10c | 9,524$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 49c | 9,100$4,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.85 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 74c | 7,890$5,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.9 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 37c | 7,495$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,721.59 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 64c | 4,444$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 62c | 4,406$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.9 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…68dcbacked No | 64c | 4,347$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 39c | 3,846$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.15 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,300$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…6077backed Yes | 79c | 3,085$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.04 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +186.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…d12cbacked No | 66c | 3,034$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…3589backed No | 75c | 2,879$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Yes | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 37c | 2,681$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…14adbacked Yes | 37c | 2,212$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e27…143ebacked No | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.09 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 38c | 1,195$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.88 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…0acebacked Yes | 38c | 1,064$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.26 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 19c | 1,012$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 36c | 1,010$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.7 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…7535backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…f2eabacked No | 62c | 999.96$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 35c | 901.14$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.74 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Yes | 77c | 668.91$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 25c | 603.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.6 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6a44backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 15c | 550$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.5 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29e…b427backed No | 62c | 505.81$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…004dbacked Yes | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 61c | 499.98$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.99 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 61c | 499.93$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.96 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 62c | 485.09$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.76 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Yes | 39c | 465.28$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.82 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 63c | 438.92$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.57 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c93…d494backed Yes | 38c | 421$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…5fb3backed Yes | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…3dd0backed Yes | 39c | 384.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…96cfbacked Yes | 41c | 366.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.48 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc358…0a36backed Yes | 39c | 358.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 35c | 337.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.04 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 37c | 296.87$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.03 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7410…ffc6backed Yes | 34c | 280.55$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +71%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…61d5backed Yes | 76c | 280$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…9c96backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 62c | 260$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 77c | 257.59$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.07 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 63c | 210.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.27 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Yes | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…0cf9backed Yes | 60c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…b1a0backed Yes | 39c | 181.85$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…160fbacked Yes | 37c | 175$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Yes | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82e…2bbfbacked Yes | 78c | 129.37$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 37c | 128.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…fe48backed Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc6…949abacked Yes | 16c | 117.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +165.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes | 33c | 109.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…cd3abacked Yes | 28c | 106.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 63c | 105.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2385…29a0backed Yes | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf004…9322backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c03cbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186f…2fc5backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Yes | 37c | 99.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 63c | 96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 38c | 92.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…62f5backed Yes | 22c | 90.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b920backed Yes | 37c | 74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Yes | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1417…26dabacked Yes | 38c | 67.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 62c | 65.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…d6d5backed No | 24c | 64.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…0a4ebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Yes | 37c | 59.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-12?this page
- Will Lille vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?No won
- Will Lille win on 2025-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.