TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97b6…0ace

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.47
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$26.31
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37.1%+$7.43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$396.89
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.51
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+166.1%+$664.26
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$281.3
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$213.45
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+86.3%+$111.6
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+38.9%+$8.31
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Leicester win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$40
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.94
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona beat Atletico Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Belgium win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will Poland win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Denmark win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Serbia win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brazil win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Scotland win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$116.47
Will Croatia win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+97.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.