Fifa International · resolved market
Will Serbia win on 2025-10-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9cfd6a1eae25bcbf68ed2e5580a968b11f42688d8503f5eaf3120fb5b81d586
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 45c | 7,890$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,366.46 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 2,710$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.07 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 60c | 2,323$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.98 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 53c | 2,244$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.67 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 53c | 1,731$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Yes | 53c | 1,232$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 54c | 1,060$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…7ea4backed Yes | 57c | 1,056$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 16c | 971.88$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 56c | 907.9$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.42 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 55c | 905.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 46c | 903.1$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.67 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 47c | 831.61$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.75 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 50c | 777$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.5 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 35c | 755$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.55 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 71c | 742.21$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.74 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 50c | 703.43$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.39 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 684.77$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.43 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 620$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.65 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 51c | 588.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 56c | 528.9$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.18 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 43c | 516.74$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.54 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 76c | 458.33$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 21c | 438.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 47c | 407$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.71 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 43c | 391.59$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.21 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 53c | 364.15$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 58c | 350.62$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 52c | 286.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 43c | 277.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.45 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 44c | 275$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 55c | 238.96$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…0e50backed Yes | 50c | 237.11$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…c40fbacked Yes | 58c | 207.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 58c | 206.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 56c | 201.89$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc891…cf27backed Yes | 57c | 198.6$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8e7dbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…e842backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed No | 44c | 161.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…35a8backed No | 44c | 132.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…e0c4backed Yes | 58c | 116.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…bca3backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 23c | 102.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18b…4e0ebacked No | 44c | 100.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 55c | 91.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…bcaebacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…1335backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 77c | 73.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes | 55c | 72.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 58c | 72.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…b9c7backed Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…0acebacked Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…0e8bbacked Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d06…9e73backed Yes | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…0ddebacked No | 44c | 65.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…fd36backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 43c | 52.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…cd22backed Yes | 58c | 52.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 57c | 43.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…393bbacked Yes | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 48c | 40.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 40.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed No | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…1b1ebacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…a84dbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7630backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a94abacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…ff29backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3889…b339backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 43c | 26.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…5468backed Yes | 47c | 25.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b0…9ad7backed Yes | 52c | 25.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Serbia win on 2025-10-11?this page
- Will Albania win on 2025-10-11?Yes won
- Will Serbia vs. Albania end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.