Fifa International · resolved market
Will Albania win on 2025-10-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x073b4cac76d6255bf99f97c45d09eed7fab9c2ecea5e542cc31a413cec40ffde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 19c | 15,169$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,289.42 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 19c | 11,053$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,902.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Yes | 19c | 2,293$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 2,085$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.3 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 59c | 1,772$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.06 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Yes | 16c | 1,497$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 1,184$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.83 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 60c | 1,112$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.92 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…5bd0backed Yes | 50c | 839$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 16c | 779.76$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 57c | 733.21$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.21 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46b…f862backed Yes | 17c | 470.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…61e6backed Yes | 24c | 439.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +318.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 64c | 410.48$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.1 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 57c | 395.64$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.3 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 51c | 367.44$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.05 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…66a3backed Yes | 17c | 291.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…58c9backed Yes | 17c | 258.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.82 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 15c | 248.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.31 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…2b5cbacked Yes | 22c | 210$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3593…6a91backed Yes | 50c | 207.56$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +500.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43b0…9ad7backed Yes | 18c | 186.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…f1e1backed Yes | 57c | 176.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 54c | 149.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7630backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 25c | 79.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…7ad9backed Yes | 20c | 65.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 30cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…03c4backed Yes | 79c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…c311backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…0522backed Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…a84dbacked No | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed No | 51c | 22.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…635ebacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albania win on 2025-10-11?this page
- Will Serbia vs. Albania end in a draw?No won
- Will Serbia win on 2025-10-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.