TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e69…bebe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT3315.2%5 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.56
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.34
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.54
Will Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$307.14
Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+400%+$136
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+455.6%+$91.11
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+525%+$89.25
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$1,011.11
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$104.07
Will Morocco vs. Tanzania end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Will Nigeria vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Mali win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$68.15
Will Angola win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Hungary win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Wales win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Albania win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.9
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+566.7%+$283.33
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+212.5%+$212.5
Will Benfica win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 18 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.