TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$446,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$434,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,858 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe92e…1e38backed Yes0c253,886$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.651631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-43.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes14c23,692$3,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,316.8313829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes3c20,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes4c11,340$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.848531.8%27 W · 58 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes14c9,000$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.9924146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Yes14c7,478$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.33633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+106.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes5c5,053$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes15c5,050$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48d6…46a6backed Yes14c3,498$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.76835.3%24 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes16c3,001$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.981,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42020448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes15c2,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005438.9%21 W · 33 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe073…9959backed Yes4c2,105$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes2c2,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384425%11 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes4c1,774$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.961,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes13c1,633$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8417833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe659…57bbbacked Yes15c1,567$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.981315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes16c1,532$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.461,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes5c1,313$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706432.8%21 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd69…e2cebacked Yes3c1,305$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2370%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes3c1,281$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.281,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c5…dc74backed Yes15c1,184$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes3c1,152$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.564447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…b52dbacked Yes4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb518…ec0bbacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes15c999.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes15c872.49$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.381,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes14c777$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7812324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes3c757.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1611712%14 W · 103 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8eb9…20c1backed Yes15c742.47$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df4…0287backed Yes15c733.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes11c706$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6617327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes14c700.38$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0529427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6d…4e19backed Yes15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes15c644.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6326229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9044036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes14c594.58$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.243748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb84b…95b1backed Yes6c534.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.242045%9 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes14c500$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7123531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x348f…036bbacked Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8478…4355backed Yes5c500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes13c493.53$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa458…7141backed Yes10c487.66$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf828…fca3backed Yes13c450$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.51421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…f90dbacked Yes14c428.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa297…8e9bbacked Yes5c427.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8476…036ebacked Yes14c418.14$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes17c400$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667830.8%24 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b5…a5e8backed Yes15c399.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e69…bebebacked Yes15c340$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513315.2%5 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c4…444fbacked Yes14c310.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72e…7c3bbacked Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4223325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6e…ccc7backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes16c292.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.818929.1%55 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Yes16c275$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes5c260.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7742043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0598…2f60backed Yes4c253.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f9…c4e8backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+48.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes15c238.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7258445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yes15c233.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356141%25 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes9c225$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ac…ab83backed Yes5c210$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes10c207$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5532222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306850%34 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7d9…7b43backed Yes14c199.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-58.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes14c185$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.913543.7%59 W · 76 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02b1…0e4fbacked Yes14c183.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1fa…1fd7backed Yes9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977f…7029backed Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253930.8%12 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cd5…b24abacked Yes8c153.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+35.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes14c151.66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.718551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ac…d539backed Yes14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes15c144$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.622834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes14c143$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0235661.2%218 W · 138 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes14c143$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0211838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba99…8f26backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204621.7%10 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes14c125.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6215257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes15c124.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7125551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0356…5273backed Yes15c120$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182825%7 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fd8…bfe0backed Yes15c107.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.161921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-45%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes14c102.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.339230.4%28 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511828%33 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…6921backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154639.1%18 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2513844.9%62 W · 76 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540157.6%231 W · 170 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c4…9cd7backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-76.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d71…cfddbacked Yes17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6844…915abacked Yes13c99.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes12c97.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.729158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Yes14c85.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212748.8%62 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x81ea…21e1backed Yes15c84.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.73740.5%15 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.