TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb726…f90d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 52 out of 100; worst Cricket at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.61
Alexander Isak: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 3 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$287.8
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$455.56
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.97
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.3
Will Canada vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+318.4%+$318.4
Will United States win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Hungary win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$208.68
Will Morocco win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$189.44
Will Norway win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.98
Will Cyprus vs. Moldova end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Cyprus vs. Moldova: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.47
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Will Armenia vs. Belarus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$197.15
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$318.18
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+228.5%+$586.08
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$116.99
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$48.51
Will Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$123
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+354.5%+$232.83
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+334.8%+$224.87
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Arsenal vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$95.14
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$27.83
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$74.93
Tottenham vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.67
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-47.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$56.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 5)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$66.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.