Fifa International · resolved market
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51fc7cfdaee135d6d0bed053e5fcd3652954414d9b9f4eef5dce2e9ea717f161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,643,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,565,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,643,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,722 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 77c | 661,388$507,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,503.86 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 73c | 493,142$359,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,148.31 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…4710backed Yes | 27c | 300,000$79,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,877.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 249,270$54,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,280.59 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 26c | 212,927$54,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,556.78 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 27c | 200,000$53,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,000 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc71…d033backed Yes | 20c | 162,000$31,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,996.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 74c | 142,651$105,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,097.58 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962f…c6c7backed Yes | 4c | 101,588$4,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,543.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 24c | 100,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,999.98 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked No | 74c | 100,000$74,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,999.96 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79e…1fb0backed No | 74c | 97,564$72,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,366.68 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 97,273$71,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,342.92 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 18c | 94,748$17,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,247.19 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 74c | 89,268$65,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,521.5 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 74c | 75,000$55,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,499.97 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yes | 25c | 49,999$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,499.72 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 73c | 49,999$36,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,499.69 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 22c | 44,444$9,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,777.68 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 74c | 42,690$31,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,099.4 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 75c | 42,091$31,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,347.5 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked No | 74c | 40,000$29,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 74c | 40,000$29,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.93 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 74c | 39,499$29,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,269.62 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…9e9fbacked Yes | 0c | 39,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 37,229$27,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,975.05 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1c8cbacked Yes | 27c | 36,804$9,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,937 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 8c | 36,258$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6270…9ce7backed Yes | 9c | 36,061$3,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 21c | 32,788$6,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,826.22 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 74c | 29,161$21,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,521.88 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 26,942$20,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,831.54 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 26c | 26,929$7,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,033.95 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…f628backed Yes | 1c | 25,666$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 25c | 24,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f4fbacked Yes | 17c | 23,702$4,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,117.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 20c | 22,437$4,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,564.11 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 74c | 21,999$16,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,739.82 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 13c | 20,801$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.92 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…37cdbacked Yes | 17c | 20,582$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28d0…a750backed No | 74c | 20,181$14,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,247.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3c…0aabbacked Yes | 0c | 20,148$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked No | 74c | 20,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Yes | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 4c | 20,000$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.56 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed No | 74c | 20,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.92 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 19c | 19,489$3,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.83 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…367ebacked Yes | 26c | 19,231$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a89…a3b6backed Yes | 25c | 19,193$4,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,798.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 3c | 18,976$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.73 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Yes | 27c | 18,519$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7a…28e3backed Yes | 20c | 18,447$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 17,814$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.39 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Yes | 4c | 17,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 74c | 15,425$11,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,039.86 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…9f2abacked No | 74c | 15,152$11,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.6 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5448…1a7bbacked Yes | 25c | 15,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…1e01backed Yes | 26c | 14,829$3,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,855.48 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…b8e0backed Yes | 1c | 14,592$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb334…1ae1backed Yes | 5c | 14,329$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.45 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 5c | 14,325$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.5 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…02ccbacked Yes | 12c | 14,146$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 74c | 13,407$9,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525.87 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708b…3424backed No | 74c | 13,342$9,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 25c | 13,295$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.65 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 74c | 13,155$9,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.79 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…3586backed Yes | 26c | 13,130$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.82 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 26c | 12,861$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,382.12 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 11c | 12,727$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.31 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked No | 77c | 12,278$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.01 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Yes | 13c | 12,169$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 14c | 12,120$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.64 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 12,120$8,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.24 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 73c | 12,000$8,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 74c | 12,000$8,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.98 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 74c | 11,900$8,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.59 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 74c | 11,572$8,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.82 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…61cbbacked Yes | 26c | 11,115$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…fb09backed Yes | 5c | 11,038$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.91 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 6c | 10,801$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.93 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 5c | 10,528$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.08 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 27c | 10,385$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab24…5cdbbacked Yes | 10c | 10,185$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…40e3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3748…0906backed Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.96 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.94 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 10c | 9,988$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.32 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a50…ed9abacked No | 78c | 9,651$7,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…b795backed Yes | 26c | 9,258$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc152…3e66backed Yes | 27c | 9,039$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes | 27c | 8,889$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae4…299fbacked Yes | 19c | 8,574$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.11 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 74c | 8,240$6,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.4 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…e33abacked Yes | 6c | 8,057$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.41 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Yes | 26c | 8,039$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.13 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked No | 73c | 8,000$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Yes | 24c | 8,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.98 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc27…4672backed Yes | 26c | 7,918$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?this page
- Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.