TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa5c9…1e01

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT5168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,772.49
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$48.77
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,112.18
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$376.41
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$265.33
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$100.45
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$461.51
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$147.21
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$710.1
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$161.87
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.89
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$171.48
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$232.07
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.24
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$707.53
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.18
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$110.57
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,046.14
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$180
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$387.42
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.72
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.19
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,838Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,837.69
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,558.96
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,603Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$592.94
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyukbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$553.78
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$450.19
Cincinnati Open: Zachary Svajda vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$36.39
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Mark Lajalbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.22
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$59.08
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$131.1
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.64
Samsun: Semen Pankin vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$73.59
Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmanebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$58.67
Generali Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Marco Trungellitibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.18
Estoril Open: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinezbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.1
Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Busebacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.33
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.44
Swedish Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Luciano Darderibacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$944Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$944.38
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$849.83
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,048.09
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$42.59
Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.55
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,037.43
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$32.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$58.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$208.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$246.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.