Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48d2b8232a1db3068b8e3444ee070d4d1d7ac3c2e5a80c2a2fa5c8ecd705c321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof 100 Thieves, Nongshim RedForce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Nongshim RedForce | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 29,593$13,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,910.17 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 18,262$6,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,951.57 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Nongshim RedForce | 49c | 13,127$6,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,637.69 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…e0c4backed Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 5,717$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed 100 Thieves | 19c | 5,591$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.08 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 63c | 4,699$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.76 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 3,885$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.98 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nongshim RedForce | 59c | 2,970$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.86 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 2,943$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.71 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 2,940$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 2,512$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 2,476$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed Nongshim RedForce | 27c | 2,234$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.44 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nongshim RedForce | 63c | 2,053$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.84 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 1,570$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.29 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 1,444$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.79 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves | 59c | 1,353$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.6 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nongshim RedForce | 74c | 1,237$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.48 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 1,222$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.71 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Nongshim RedForce | 64c | 1,080$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.69 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 1,051$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.22 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 1,044$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.48 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 999.96$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.98 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 817.91$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.77 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 100 Thieves | 13c | 745$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…6625backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 727.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed Nongshim RedForce | 78c | 725$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nongshim RedForce | 67c | 658.98$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.15 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 650.57$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.69 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 643.8$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.83 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 641.63$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.9 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 635.29$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.73 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…91f7backed Nongshim RedForce | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…21c5backed Nongshim RedForce | 38c | 540$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a28…929fbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 533.18$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 451.71$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.34 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nongshim RedForce | 65c | 415.04$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.75 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 406$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.12 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…74c2backed Nongshim RedForce | 21c | 400.62$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.62 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 45c | 400$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nongshim RedForce | 69c | 394.42$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.56 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 388.59$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.41 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 376.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Nongshim RedForce | 64c | 370.31$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.31 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 364.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 100 Thieves | 26c | 353.58$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 310.64$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6003backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 300.49$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.76 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed Nongshim RedForce | 36c | 288.24$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.31 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe3…eaafbacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 257.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Nongshim RedForce | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe767…9107backed Nongshim RedForce | 39c | 244.51$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.15 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…62dabacked Nongshim RedForce | 44c | 227.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 225$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed 100 Thieves | 19c | 218.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b81…613dbacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 203.07$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.87 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Nongshim RedForce | 39c | 184.62$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 167.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 156.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Nongshim RedForce | 64c | 138.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 137.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 137.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 131.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…2573backed Nongshim RedForce | 77c | 130.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…b585backed Nongshim RedForce | 47c | 127.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 127.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…a638backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 123.47$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…db77backed Nongshim RedForce | 31c | 123$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 121.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…2074backed Nongshim RedForce | 42c | 115.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nongshim RedForce | 59c | 115.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…f758backed 100 Thieves | 22c | 113.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 104.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 102.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 100.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…ea61backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 90.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Nongshim RedForce | 36c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…f252backed 100 Thieves | 21c | 89.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…1e01backed Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 86.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nongshim RedForce | 48c | 84.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 77.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…8ff4backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 76.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a972backed Nongshim RedForce | 62c | 72.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…f51abacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 66.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 66.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d68…cd6abacked 100 Thieves | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 62.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.