Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa08a4db8f538d63926737518f40db7513eba25d4da090f1afe623b4ae7d8a47c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Nongshim RedForce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $487,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $541,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 41,212$20,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,181.55 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 31,966$17,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,573.9 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 25,236$13,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,643.71 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 25,051$9,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,546.35 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 19,741$8,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,080.59 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 45c | 12,914$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nongshim RedForce | 44c | 11,556$5,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,112.61 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…e02fbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 10,273$4,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,344.78 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 9,968$5,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,183.37 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 9,279$5,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,289.07 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 7,289$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,147.52 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Nongshim RedForce | 33c | 5,687$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.78 | 223 | 44.4%99 W · 124 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 5,000$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.99 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 4,956$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.97 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nongshim RedForce | 45c | 4,392$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.04 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 4,267$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.18 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 4,229$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.95 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves | 59c | 3,706$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.29 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 3,610$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.31 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 3,534$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaa…2094backed Nongshim RedForce | 28c | 3,407$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.83 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…bd73backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 3,295$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.47 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Nongshim RedForce | 32c | 3,268$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.63 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 3,255$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.51 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 3,109$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.08 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 27c | 2,913$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 2,881$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.54 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 2,651$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.94 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 2,582$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.9 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 2,511$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.08 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…fa6dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 20c | 2,432$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 2,299$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.19 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 2,274$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.68 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 2,261$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 2,225$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.87 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 2,215$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.31 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.91 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 2,151$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.05 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 2,114$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.32 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8f…25f5backed Nongshim RedForce | 48c | 2,104$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.35per pick | 65cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 1,906$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.11 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 1,888$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.26 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.18 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 1,816$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.44 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 1,805$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.48 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 1,804$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.01 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Nongshim RedForce | 45c | 1,751$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.89 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 1,708$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.84 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 1,655$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.06 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 1,636$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.53 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 1,590$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.88 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Nongshim RedForce | 39c | 1,555$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nongshim RedForce | 46c | 1,542$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.96 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Nongshim RedForce | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nongshim RedForce | 42c | 1,496$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.62 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 1,435$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.67 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 35c | 1,404$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.57 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 1,369$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.54 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed 100 Thieves | 32c | 1,361$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.4 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 1,315$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Nongshim RedForce | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Nongshim RedForce | 44c | 1,226$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.85 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 1,189$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed Nongshim RedForce | 68c | 1,130$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 1,022$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.54 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…6625backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 1,008$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.02 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Nongshim RedForce | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…5cb1backed Nongshim RedForce | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Nongshim RedForce | 18c | 999.67$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.65 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 998.97$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.4 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 993.39$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.43 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nongshim RedForce | 33c | 988.55$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.73 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Nongshim RedForce | 39c | 949.42$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.79 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…24e8backed Nongshim RedForce | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a28…929fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 919.3$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Nongshim RedForce | 38c | 904.54$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 901.21$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.69 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 859.72$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Nongshim RedForce | 41c | 848.36$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe767…9107backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 784.09$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.75 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked 100 Thieves | 31c | 774.75$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.75 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Nongshim RedForce | 66c | 756.63$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 751.25$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 750$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 694.79$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.19 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 669.88$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.88 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 28c | 668.83$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.52 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 663$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.37 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked Nongshim RedForce | 34c | 653.29$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.38 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 648.3$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.86 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 630.84$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.55 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cc…3bf0backed Nongshim RedForce | 19c | 624.53$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.