Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bb486d375f219e66f758cd9619c97d18d01031e84bf3afccfbf8423f435b4e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Nongshim RedForce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 3,563$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.38 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 2,810$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.26 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nongshim RedForce | 41c | 2,409$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.15 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 2,402$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.69 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 1,815$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.1 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 1,091$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.02 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…586bbacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 1,076$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.5 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…2174backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 971.11$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 906.84$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.73 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nongshim RedForce | 39c | 880.02$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.44 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 832.83$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.37 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 795.46$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nongshim RedForce | 40c | 764.61$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.52 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 716.58$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.71 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 640.6$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.14 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nongshim RedForce | 41c | 629.3$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.64 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 556$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.8 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nongshim RedForce | 38c | 512.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.19 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 512$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.48 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 487.2$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.7 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 452$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.6 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nongshim RedForce | 40c | 414$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.09 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 411.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.47 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 398.15$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 40c | 375.76$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.83 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 364.11$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Nongshim RedForce | 47c | 349.87$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.42 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Nongshim RedForce | 62c | 318.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.27 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1926…83ccbacked Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 316.39$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Nongshim RedForce | 47c | 306.82$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 306$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Nongshim RedForce | 42c | 215.58$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260f…6980backed Nongshim RedForce | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Nongshim RedForce | 9c | 195.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 193.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nongshim RedForce | 32c | 185.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nongshim RedForce | 49c | 177.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 177.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 36c | 177.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed Nongshim RedForce | 37c | 161.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 148.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 146.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 146.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 142.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Nongshim RedForce | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nongshim RedForce | 60c | 138$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 128.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 118.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 34c | 112$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 108.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 104.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Nongshim RedForce | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 147 | 37.4%55 W · 92 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 90.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked 100 Thieves | 34c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 40c | 88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 78.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…f252backed Nongshim RedForce | 33c | 76.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 71.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Nongshim RedForce | 35c | 71.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…a638backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Nongshim RedForce | 42c | 63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b38…a4c4backed Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 61.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 60.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 100 Thieves | 31c | 55.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 52.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 53c | 52.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Nongshim RedForce | 25c | 50.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 102 | 17.6%18 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Nongshim RedForce | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 43.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…b109backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +22.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 38.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Nongshim RedForce | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nongshim RedForce | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Nongshim RedForce | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nongshim RedForce | 64c | 29.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…a87fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Nongshim RedForce | 62c | 18.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.