TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Nongshim RedForce
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,494
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,494 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed Nongshim RedForce55c3,563$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.3834356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed 100 Thieves59c2,810$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.2656357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Nongshim RedForce41c2,409$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.1540944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves55c2,402$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.6926650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves44c1,815$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.193148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed 100 Thieves62c1,091$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.0253159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17d3…586bbacked 100 Thieves52c1,076$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.56250%31 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d8…2174backed Nongshim RedForce55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves56c971.11$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5768458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves53c906.84$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.7394361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nongshim RedForce39c880.02$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4440945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked 100 Thieves46c832.83$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.3716347.2%77 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed 100 Thieves76c795.46$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9130147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Nongshim RedForce40c764.61$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.521,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves68c716.58$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.7165559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Nongshim RedForce57c640.6$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.1463955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nongshim RedForce41c629.3$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.641,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked 100 Thieves45c556$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.831153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Nongshim RedForce38c512.74$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.191,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Nongshim RedForce54c512$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.487338.4%28 W · 45 L-10.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed 100 Thieves43c487.2$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.73548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Nongshim RedForce55c452$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.653442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nongshim RedForce40c414$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0981134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked 100 Thieves36c411.85$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.471947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Nongshim RedForce56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22418049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Nongshim RedForce54c398.15$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21517853.9%96 W · 82 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Nongshim RedForce40c375.76$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.831,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed 100 Thieves76c364.11$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.034037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed Nongshim RedForce47c349.87$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.426426.6%17 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Nongshim RedForce62c318.99$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2762156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1926…83ccbacked Nongshim RedForce57c316.39$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Nongshim RedForce47c306.82$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1447540%30 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked 100 Thieves46c306$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2278562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Nongshim RedForce54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13513446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Nongshim RedForce42c215.58$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3622539.1%88 W · 137 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x260f…6980backed Nongshim RedForce10c200$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195532.7%18 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Nongshim RedForce9c195.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2160022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Nongshim RedForce50c193.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.923836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Nongshim RedForce32c185.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6970043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Nongshim RedForce49c177.31$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.311,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Nongshim RedForce56c177.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027956.6%158 W · 121 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Nongshim RedForce36c177.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3390733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8058…4cc3backed Nongshim RedForce37c161.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608552.9%45 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37a8…8b4dbacked Nongshim RedForce47c159.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Nongshim RedForce51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1911149.5%55 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed 100 Thieves43c148.4$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.593756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked 100 Thieves54c146.97$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.238950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab1…638bbacked 100 Thieves61c146.5$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.125466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed 100 Thieves37c142.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7411237.5%42 W · 70 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Nongshim RedForce18c140$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.219240.1%77 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Nongshim RedForce60c138$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8374642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked 100 Thieves77c128.82$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8212856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked 100 Thieves51c118.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.524650%23 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Nongshim RedForce34c112$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.541,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Nongshim RedForce56c108.86$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2865347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed 100 Thieves44c104.8$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6936145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed Nongshim RedForce28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2814737.4%55 W · 92 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed 100 Thieves51c95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.553250%16 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Nongshim RedForce55c90.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011042.7%47 W · 63 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked 100 Thieves34c90$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.310633%35 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked Nongshim RedForce40c88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.927850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Nongshim RedForce57c78.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6211637.9%44 W · 72 L-15.5wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x46b2…f252backed Nongshim RedForce33c76.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc901…0c1dbacked Nongshim RedForce56c71.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.25714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-68.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Nongshim RedForce35c71.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520547.8%98 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.481,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8e…a638backed 100 Thieves51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.634238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Nongshim RedForce51c65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.189838.8%38 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Nongshim RedForce42c63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1625141.4%104 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b38…a4c4backed Nongshim RedForce54c61.87$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.411553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked 100 Thieves45c60.33$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.337944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 100 Thieves31c55.13$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0968949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked 100 Thieves41c52.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3415535.5%55 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Nongshim RedForce53c52.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2812261.5%75 W · 47 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Nongshim RedForce25c50.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7310217.6%18 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Nongshim RedForce44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2227847.1%131 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked 100 Thieves43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+44.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Nongshim RedForce75c43.61$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5177744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed 100 Thieves70c43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.999846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed 100 Thieves47c39.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1918254.4%99 W · 83 L+22.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed 100 Thieves33c38.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9913933.1%46 W · 93 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked 100 Thieves57c37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7455637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Nongshim RedForce54c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.99040%36 W · 54 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Nongshim RedForce72c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.623644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nongshim RedForce72c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.657151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Nongshim RedForce56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.832157.6%185 W · 136 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Nongshim RedForce72c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5733838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Nongshim RedForce64c29.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7220755.6%115 W · 92 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce61…a87fbacked Nongshim RedForce54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.85158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf5…1095backed Nongshim RedForce62c18.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2911770.9%83 W · 34 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed 100 Thieves72c13.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9239646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.