TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc901…0c1d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
391
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: World Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 57 out of 100; worst Valorant at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT6839.7%27 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$21.8
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.19
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+39%+$11.05
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+248.4%+$24.86
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+152.8%+$189
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.96
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.35
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$34.57
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$85.63
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+210.8%+$22.62
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$330.11
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$35.68
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,942Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$1,060.51
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$51.97
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$64.35
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42%+$19.66
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.33
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$51.37
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.27
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$54.26
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6636.4%24 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+166.3%+$32.28
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.86
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+146.6%+$28.8
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+141.3%+$96.24
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.84
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$21.59
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+165%+$17.44
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+94%+$39.12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+139.8%+$24.03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.84
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.13
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.07
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+209.1%+$44.15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.23
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$19.94
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+169.2%+$50.85
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT4634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+211.3%+$53.25
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$48.16
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.03
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$9.01
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+145.8%+$15.34
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+153.3%+$37.11
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.25
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+189%+$28.12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.75
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.92
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+125%+$16.11
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.29
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$28.76
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.16
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 13?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 13?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$163.33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$94.98
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$72.71
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$4.7
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$5.85
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$13.06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$32.44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+621.9%+$130.37
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.89
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.57
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.33
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.23
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.25
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.23
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+200.6%+$20.75
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+244.6%+$34.54
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+233.9%+$42.34
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$81.59
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.07
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+47%+$136.14
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$67.32
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$43.34
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.11
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.15
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$520.46
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$21.45
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$43.7
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$726.1
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$11.18
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.83
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+43.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+187.3%+$69.81
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.03
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$40.34
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$158.59
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.61
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$74.66
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$302.7
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.85
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$6.19
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.28
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+297.6%+$111.17
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.69
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+379.3%+$248.29
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$19.5
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$33.27
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.36
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$15.93
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iasi: Zsombor Piros vs Jerome Kymbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.23
Trieste: Matej Dodig vs Henri Squirebacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.14
Swiss Open, Qualification: Thiago Monteiro vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
ITF Bucharest: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Cezar Gabriel Papoebacked Cezar Gabriel Papoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$22.54
Swiss Open, Qualification: Daniel Michalski vs Calvin Hemerybacked Daniel Michalski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.37
ITF Astana: Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Kamonwan Yodpetchbacked Aruzhan Sagandikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$43.67
ITF Luan: Cheuk Ying Shek vs Ikumi Yamazakibacked Ikumi Yamazaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Swiss Open, Qualification: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Edas Butvilasbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$11.08
ITF Astana: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Maria Sholokhovabacked Maria Sholokhova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
ITF Tokyo: Naoki Nakagawa vs Koki Matsudabacked Koki Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+65%+$10.87
ITF Tokyo: Matthew Dellavedova vs Omar Jasikabacked Omar Jasika · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+218.4%+$39.04
ITF Dallas: Mitchell Krueger vs Gavin Youngbacked Gavin Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+140.9%+$17.42
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$34.98
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$72.12
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$61.36
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.21
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.89
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$40.72
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.67
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$16.69
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.45
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$13.07
Will Putin visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.34
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 86 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+106.7%+$36.04
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.65
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29%+$20.25
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$71.94
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$34.96
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.36
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$23.42
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$9.84
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.36
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.51
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$16.56
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.77
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.08
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.33
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.42
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$22.38
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.56
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$65.04
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$11.72
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.84
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+469.9%+$49.97
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$48.85
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.66
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.83
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.66
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+177.6%+$65.26
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+148.7%+$21.48
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$44.76
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.68
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.31
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$32.7
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+284.4%+$125.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-68.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Musiclast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-59.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alireza Firouzja Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-07-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheBoys vs banda chuya - Map 1 Winnerbacked banda chuya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta say "Dividend" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.