MenuTailMyPicksEvent
EventUs Midterms

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Wallets last checked .

Us MidtermsSettled: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Yes won. Yes: 25 wallets, $46,041 · No: 18 wallets, $21,543 25 of 43 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x98d0…f14a#22 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$3,45158c-$3,451.0165
0x6706…2341#43 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1536c+$26.6764
0x358d…7602#48 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$8229c+$197.8964
0x4be5…c1b3#51 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2,79047c+$3,21063
0xb06c…b574#52 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$24944c+$317.4863
0x23d8…0288#55 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$6,06741c+$8,683.7263
0x4e2d…4936#63 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2258c-$21.5363
0x7e35…1a6c#88 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$29340c+$434.4762
0x07ee…8dfe#91 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1948c-$19.262
0x0a53…7a6f#92 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1,29475c+$430.162
0x1c14…0869#302 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$7,79943c+$10,387.8458
0x1056…5b18#367 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$3429c+$83.0757
0xca67…703c#418 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$9571c-$95.1457
0x6c2a…b7b5#641 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1459c+$9.4156
0x4488…e319#742 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1,76645c+$2,158.7955
0xa938…a1ff#960 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$18076c-$180.1254
0x2d6c…e3f5#978 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1060c-$10.3654
0xe8c4…395d#2,695 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$46558c-$465.1652
Top 51 to 200
0xe3f2…e1c1#19 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$13,57847c+$15,599.9166
0xa667…ceb3#89 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$31743c+$412.0762
0xf107…b9ba#103 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2543c+$32.9261
0x9b5a…fa77#126 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$20047c+$224.0161
0x6139…6b7a#192 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2,86645c+$3,521.1159
0xaacb…5aec#193 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$8073c+$29.5959
0xd8d5…8935#260 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$6,90068c+$3,182.8458
0x04ac…6451#387 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$95449c+$992.957
0x1107…b151#398 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$4042c+$55.2457
0x08ef…e466#408 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2139c+$32.657
0x7ed0…9c4f#476 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$10653c+$94.556
0x1c62…ca89#718 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2558c-$2555
0x7dcf…a7bd#809 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$15756c-$156.655
0x9b2f…d8f8#814 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$6277c+$18.255
0x38d8…ea7c#922 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$40543c+$536.5455
0xa169…1b73#2,770 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$8743c+$116.4952
0x8373…f0bc#2,972 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$77259c-$772.152
0xe709…9d39#3,076 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$27256c-$272.4452
0xd9fe…db0dNo place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$14255c-$142.0351
0x9d0d…2e6d#4,766 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1,16358c-$1,162.7251
0xc3cd…816c#5,642 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2,10855c-$2,107.951
0x7248…7e72No place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$2,79754c-$2,796.9450
0xeed8…35f0#11,492 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$8,47257c-$8,471.9349
0x1387…55f8#12,864 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1,37322c-$1,373.348
0x52fa…8692#14,266 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2059c-$2047

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 7 wallets, $6,361 · No: 30 wallets, $65,117 30 of 37 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x0547…fb35#10 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2745c+$33.268
0x98d0…f14a#22 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,58444c+$2,015.9765
0x274e…648c#26 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$42042c+$58065
0x40c2…b2fc#30 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1344c+$16.364
0x6706…2341#43 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2337c+$39.7464
0x358d…7602#48 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$4431c+$97.9864
0xf440…b009#50 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$6861c-$68.3663
0xb06c…b574#52 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$14346c+$171.1263
0x23d8…0288#55 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$4341c+$60.9963
0x7e35…1a6c#88 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$94545c+$1,162.8862
0x9dd9…08bd#112 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2210c+$19861
0xf6c6…7d80#185 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$6443c+$85.1559
0x1c14…0869#302 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$10,24839c+$15,817.4358
0x1056…5b18#367 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$9770c-$97.357
0x4488…e319#742 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$16,90746c+$19,898.2555
0xe8c4…395d#2,695 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$22958c-$228.5252
Top 51 to 200
0x88d7…5762#21 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$10042c+$138.0366
0xa20c…451a#46 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$9,48741c+$13,741.6864
0xa667…ceb3#89 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$38643c+$520.9562
0x9b5a…fa77#126 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1047c+$11.2861
0x6139…6b7a#192 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$4,77240c+$7,128.0659
0xd8d5…8935#260 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3,90867c+$1,950.9658
0xfb59…83f9#326 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1,40056c-$1,40057
0xf9b5…1212#634 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2940c+$43.556
0xe040…824f#780 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1344c+$16.855
0x7dcf…a7bd#809 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$8843c+$118.255
0xa169…1b73#2,770 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$20952c-$208.6452
0x8373…f0bc#2,972 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$52240c+$775.5752
0xd9fe…db0dNo place on the board tonightNowon (open this pick)$29444c+$374.9551
0x9d0d…2e6d#4,766 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$85542c+$1,163.2551
0xc3cd…816c#5,642 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,99844c+$2,571.2551
0xa917…4e8d#5,741 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$12542c+$172.8451
0x7248…7e72No place on the board tonightNowon (open this pick)$2,34245c+$2,823.5550
0x27b5…9650#8,368 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$10958c-$10950
0xeed8…35f0#11,492 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$5,50645c+$6,760.8149
0x1387…55f8#12,864 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$4,19978c+$1,189.748
0x17b8…d5d1#16,313 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$4,24936c-$4,249.1443

Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Yes won. Yes: 4 wallets, $771 · No: 8 wallets, $1,071 4 of 12 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xb23e…829a#153 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$41364c-$413.1160
0xfd39…9ec8#305 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$32364c-$322.7358
0x4b8a…f4a4#567 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$7979c-$7956
0x625b…22cf#10,463 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2170c-$21.2349
Top 51 to 200
0xf107…b9ba#103 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$18026c+$501.8361
0x6139…6b7a#192 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$48138c+$772.3759
0x04ac…6451#387 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$10075c+$33.3357
0x3008…3c76#987 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1050c+$1054
0x4d02…2ad3#1,471 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$6357c-$6353
0x676c…ce51#1,884 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$6060c-$6053
0x344c…c689#6,135 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$3155c-$30.9450
0xeed8…35f0#11,492 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$8179c-$81.349
About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.