TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1c62…ca89

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs INOX Division (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$42.7
Map Handicap: Color (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Academy (+1.5)backed Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group Dbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs SportsBetExpert (+1.5)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.39
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Map Handicap: FX (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)backed FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs ShindeN (+1.5)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$37.8
Counter-Strike: Endless Journey vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group Cbacked Endless Journey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.78
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$38.4
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.8
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)backed Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.8
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winnerbacked Myth Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs 7REX (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.84
Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)backed Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs GIANTX iTero (+1.5)backed GIANTX iTero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.8
Valorant: Sharper Esport vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Sharper Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Valorant: BESTIA vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Valorant: DRX vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.2
Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra (BO5) - VCL Latin America Finals Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ (BO5) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffsbacked REJECT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Valorant: SK Nebula vs GIANTX GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked SK Nebula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Valorant: DRX vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$29.6
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.11
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.5
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Shamil Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$146.25
UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Chris Padilla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$195.48
UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Gauge Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.8
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Wes Schultz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Eric McConico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.5
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$120
UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ramiz Brahimaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.7
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Valter Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$62.7
UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Tommy McMillen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.6
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Austin Bashi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Franco vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Felipe Franco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$47.19
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$22.1
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.99
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.48
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Tracy Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.58
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$23.6
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.11
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+203%+$26.8
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Joy Powers be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+81.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Caroline Dolehide vs Veronika Podrezbacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.49
US Open, Qualification ATP: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Aziz Dougazbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$53.9
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Jay Dylan Friendbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$22.05
Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutetbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Canadian Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Juncheng Shangbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Winnipeg: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Mees Rottgering · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-56.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 185.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$39.2
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Libertybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.19
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: ARI (-1.5)backed ARI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
49ers vs. Chargersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$8.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazzbacked Utah Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.