TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6706…2341

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Weather, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 61 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+45.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.8
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$6.12
Will Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+136.9%+$38.17
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.52
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$30.28
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$120
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$11.88
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$18.86
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+148.8%+$44.64
Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+476.8%+$69.54
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$14.45
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$6.29
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$3.79
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$7.28
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.64
All 21 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+44.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
Weather — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tropical Storm Lala make landfall in Hawaii as a hurricane?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+181.1%+$23.09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+201.6%+$35.28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+159.2%+$31.83
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$16.19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+102%+$21.41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.61
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$19.44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$12.73
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49%+$6.45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+130%+$23.28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$9.97
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$12.47
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.22
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+260.8%+$43.32
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$17.38
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$19.54
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+130%+$15.6
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+208.4%+$21.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$18.71
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+331.7%+$80.67
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-72.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid+25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viking FK win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$32.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$4.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.