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EventUkraine

US imports Russian diesel by...?

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UkrainePolymarket gives this event no start time.Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Top 200 wallets

10

10 top 200 wallets hold a position on this event, 6 of them top 50

Members see every position: which wallet, which side, how much, at what price, and since when.

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US imports Russian diesel by October 31? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 17 wallets, $1,962 · No: 14 wallets, $4,077 14 of 31 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Ukraine when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Ukraine when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xf5e4…471a#4 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1906c-$189.8364
0x94d0…9e65#23 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$30060c+$200.6760
0xd44e…67e2#43 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$15030c+$35059
0xcf00…76f2#46 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1047c-$1059
0x1583…bdde#52 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$5719c-$56.9758
0x2df5…51ac#54 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1854c+$15.1858
0x768f…c7bd#71 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$10754c+$9358
0x9cfc…3671#79 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2225c-$22.0857
0x5c5a…aabe#85 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2066c+$10.357
Top 51 to 200
0xff91…ab3a#26 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$55358c+$408.2760
0x6b49…2e46#56 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1150c+$11.1358
0x961b…2b00#62 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2054c+$16.9358
0x0f18…5b28#107 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$194c-$18.9957
0xefde…783d#115 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$93158c+$679.957
0x9985…6afa#135 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2357c+$17.3556
0x8b72…6dbe#175 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$6712c-$66.655
0xf9b5…1212#181 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2015c-$20.0955
0x86f0…610c#190 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3055c+$24.5555
0x8196…ab69#250 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,87948c+$2,012.3854
0xa58f…cec8#252 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2169c+$9.5354
0xb924…0803#264 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$9318c-$93.0954
0xa5c2…1bbe#274 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1552c+$13.8554
0x4d86…1cb2#311 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$100c-$1054
0xdec2…b015#350 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$18621c-$185.5454
0xd104…7c02#481 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1523c-$1553
0x38cf…d885No place on the board tonightYeslost (open this pick)$8022c-$80.2153
0x5a0d…fa97#799 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$6060c-$6053
0xde09…dbdeNo place on the board tonightYeslost (open this pick)$9838c-$97.9553
0x6fa1…1f74#808 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$264c-$25.8753
0x0174…95b0#2,338 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1054c-$1051
0x9afe…062a#4,403 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1,00066c-$1,00049

US imports Russian diesel by November 2? (opens in a new tab)

Settled. The result and the qualified picks come with the nightly update. Until then, this is what the top 200 wallets bought.

3 positions not shown: 3 bought above 80c

About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.